Dr Horton Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DHI Stock | USD 126.78 1.49 1.19% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding DR Horton is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of DR Horton's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out DR Horton Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in DHI Stock please use our How to Invest in DR Horton guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as DHI and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards DR Horton. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
DHI |
Execute DR Horton Buy or Sell Advice
The DHI recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on DR Horton. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in DR Horton or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute DR Horton's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
DR Horton Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| DR Horton generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 14th of February 2025 DR Horton paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: D.R. Horton Traded Lower due to Higher Mortgage Rates |
DR Horton Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of DR Horton's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of DR Horton's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of DR Horton daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use DR Horton price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of DR Horton returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for DR Horton.
| Mean Return | -0.31 | Value At Risk | -3.12 | Potential Upside | 3.04 | Standard Deviation | 1.96 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of DR Horton historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
DHI Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral-genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt Am Main | 2024-12-31 | 3.8 M | Greenhaven Associates Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3.7 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 3.6 M | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3.6 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 3.5 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 3.4 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.7 M | Smead Capital Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.5 M | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 2.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 33 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 32 M |
DR Horton Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (3.8B) | (5.2B) | (516.4M) | 78.8M | 70.9M | 74.5M | |
| Change In Cash | 197.1M | (664.3M) | 1.3B | 643.9M | 740.5M | 777.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 267M | 413.6M | 4.2B | 2.0B | 2.3B | 2.4B | |
| Depreciation | 73.9M | 81.4M | 91.6M | 87.1M | 100.2M | 105.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 39.9M | 70.4M | 80.3M | 128.4M | 115.6M | 182.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 289.3M | 316.5M | 341.2M | 395.2M | 454.5M | 477.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 267.4M | 148.2M | 148.6M | 165.3M | 190.1M | 199.6M | |
| Net Income | 4.2B | 5.9B | 4.8B | 4.8B | 5.5B | 5.7B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.2B | 2.6B | 3.9B | 4.5B | 5.2B | 5.5B | |
| Investments | (252.2M) | (414.9M) | (310.2M) | (190.6M) | (171.5M) | (180.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 906.9M | 1.1B | 572.5M | (1.1B) | (1.2B) | (1.2B) | |
| Change To Netincome | (401.5M) | 128.5M | 242.7M | 195.1M | 224.4M | 235.6M |
DR Horton Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to DR Horton or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that DR Horton's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a DHI stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
DR Horton Volatility Alert
DR Horton exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.18 and kurtosis of -0.37. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure DR Horton's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact DR Horton's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.DR Horton Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing DR Horton's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze DR Horton's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between DR Horton and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as DR Horton or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of DR Horton's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DR Horton by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare DR Horton to competition |
| Fundamentals | DR Horton | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.19 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 42.05 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 320.83 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 10.58 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 85.16 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.78 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.10 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.60 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.11 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 36.8 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 8.95 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 6.37 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 4.76 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.87 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 7.08 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.92 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.31 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 5.24 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 78.53 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.19 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.79 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 14.14 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.50 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 167.07 | |
| Number Of Employees | 14.77 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.81 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 40.67 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 36.1 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 27.95 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 32.71 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 3846 shares by Paul Romanowski of DR Horton subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
DR Horton Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as DHI . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About DR Horton Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell DR Horton? Buying financial instruments such as DHI Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having DR Horton in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out DR Horton Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in DHI Stock please use our How to Invest in DR Horton guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DR Horton. If investors know DHI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DR Horton listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 1.3 | Earnings Share 14.14 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of DR Horton is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DHI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DR Horton's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DR Horton's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DR Horton's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DR Horton's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DR Horton's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DR Horton is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DR Horton's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.