Dr Horton Stock Beneish M Score

DHI Stock  USD 128.84  2.29  1.75%   
This module uses fundamental data of DR Horton to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. DR Horton M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out DR Horton Piotroski F Score and DR Horton Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in DHI Stock please use our How to Invest in DR Horton guide.
  
As of now, DR Horton's Net Debt To EBITDA is decreasing as compared to previous years. The DR Horton's current Debt To Equity is estimated to increase to 2.16, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to decrease to under 3.9 B. As of now, DR Horton's PB Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The DR Horton's current EV To Sales is estimated to increase to 6.64, while Dividend Yield is projected to decrease to 0.01.
At this time, it appears that DR Horton is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if DR Horton's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by DR Horton executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of DR Horton's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.48
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.58

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.77

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.01

Focus

DR Horton Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if DR Horton's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables293.3 M484.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue44.4 B42.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets43.6 B41.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets42 B40 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.3 B798.7 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment537.8 M512.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization105.2 M100.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative4.3 B4.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities8.8 B8.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total10 B9.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt1.9 B1.7 B
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Short Term Debt7.1 B6.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt3.7 B6.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income7.2 B6.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments2.9 B2.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.150.1942
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable

DR Horton Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between DR Horton's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards DR Horton in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find DR Horton's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About DR Horton Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

37.27 Billion

As of now, DR Horton's Other Operating Expenses is increasing as compared to previous years.

DR Horton Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as DR Horton. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables321.7M423.1M426.9M421.4M484.6M293.3M
Total Revenue27.8B33.5B35.5B36.8B42.3B44.4B
Total Assets24.0B30.4B32.6B36.1B41.5B43.6B
Total Current Assets21.7B26.6B28.8B34.7B40.0B42.0B
Net Debt2.2B3.5B1.2B1.5B1.7B1.9B
Short Term Debt5.4B6.1B5.1B5.9B6.8B7.1B
Long Term Debt5.4B6.1B5.1B5.9B6.8B3.7B
Operating Income5.3B7.6B6.4B5.9B6.8B7.2B
Investments(252.2M)(414.9M)(310.2M)(190.6M)(171.5M)(180.1M)
Gross Profit Margin0.240.280.310.260.190.15

DR Horton ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, DR Horton's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to DR Horton's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About DR Horton Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze DR Horton's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of DR Horton using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of DR Horton based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether DR Horton offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of DR Horton's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Dr Horton Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Dr Horton Stock:
Check out DR Horton Piotroski F Score and DR Horton Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in DHI Stock please use our How to Invest in DR Horton guide.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DR Horton. If investors know DHI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DR Horton listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Dividend Share
1.3
Earnings Share
14.14
Revenue Per Share
112.352
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of DR Horton is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DHI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DR Horton's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DR Horton's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DR Horton's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DR Horton's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DR Horton's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DR Horton is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DR Horton's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.