Donegal Group A Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DGICA Stock  USD 16.64  0.21  1.28%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Donegal Group A is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Donegal Group buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DGICA positions.
  
Check out Donegal Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Donegal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Donegal Group A. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Donegal Group Buy or Sell Advice

The Donegal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Donegal Group A. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Donegal Group A or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Donegal Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Donegal GroupBuy Donegal Group
Strong Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Donegal Group A has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0793, Jensen Alpha of 0.0972, Total Risk Alpha of (0.14), Sortino Ratio of 0.0213 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3018
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Donegal Group A and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Donegal Group is not overpriced, please confirm all Donegal Group A fundamentals, including its price to sales, net income, and the relationship between the price to earning and gross profit . Given that Donegal Group A has a number of shares shorted of 216.44 K, we urge you to verify Donegal Group A market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Donegal Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Donegal Group A has accumulated 35 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Donegal Group A has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Donegal Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 80.0% of Donegal Group shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of November 2024 Donegal Group paid $ 0.1725 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Donegal groups Sanjay Pandey sells 62,152 in class a stock

Donegal Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Donegal Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Donegal Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Donegal Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Donegal Group A price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Donegal Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Donegal Group.
Mean Return
0.18
Value At Risk
-1.9
Potential Upside
2.51
Standard Deviation
1.86
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Donegal Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Donegal Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
226.2 K
Logan Capital Management Inc2024-06-30
223.7 K
Kennedy Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
201.6 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
188 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
165.2 K
Keeley-teton Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
143.4 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
129.6 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2024-06-30
119.9 K
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-09-30
89.5 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
1.8 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
1.6 M
Note, although Donegal Group's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Donegal Group Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(3.3M)53.8M(45.4M)(32.6M)(1.3M)(1.3M)
Free Cash Flow76.2M101.0M1.3B95.4M28.6M27.2M
Depreciation5.6M6.7M5.8M4.8M4.3M3.0M
Other Non Cash Items(22.3M)(2.8M)(6.5M)13.1M(3.2M)(3.3M)
Dividends Paid16.1M17.0M19.1M20.5M21.9M23.0M
Capital Expenditures149.6K89.7K1.2B28.3M44.7K42.5K
Net Income47.2M52.8M25.3M(2.0M)4.4M4.2M
End Period Cash Flow49.3M103.1M57.7M25.1M23.8M18.8M
Change To Inventory54.6M92.6M97.4M8.4M9.7M9.2M
Change To Netincome29.2M48.3M51.5M69.1M79.4M83.4M
Investments(43.2M)(99.6M)(64.7M)(117.6M)(35.4M)(37.1M)
Net Borrowings1M(25M)50M(55M)(49.5M)(47.0M)

Donegal Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Donegal Group or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Donegal Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Donegal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.56
σ
Overall volatility
1.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Donegal Group Volatility Alert

Donegal Group A has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.36 and kurtosis of 9.41. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Donegal Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Donegal Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Donegal Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Donegal Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Donegal Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Donegal Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Donegal Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Donegal Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Donegal Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Donegal Group to competition
FundamentalsDonegal GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0505-0.31
Return On Asset0.0084-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation558.47 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding28.32 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.48 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions80.09 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted216.44 K4.71 M
Price To Earning7.47 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.10 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.56 X11.42 X
Revenue927.34 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(1.77 M)27.38 B
EBITDA10.01 M3.9 B
Net Income4.43 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents63.32 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.96 X5.01 X
Total Debt35 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.07 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.50 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.22 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations28.62 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.81 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.75 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.06 X4.89 X
Target Price16.5
Beta-0.08-0.15
Market Capitalization548.37 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.27 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings217.79 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return4.08 %
Note: Acquisition by Donegal Mutual Insurance Co of 8312 shares of Donegal Group at 16.4462 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Donegal Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Donegal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Donegal Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Donegal Group A? Buying financial instruments such as Donegal Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Donegal Group in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Donegal Group A offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Donegal Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Donegal Group A Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Donegal Group A Stock:
Check out Donegal Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Donegal Group. If investors know Donegal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Donegal Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.057
Dividend Share
0.685
Earnings Share
0.75
Revenue Per Share
29.304
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.076
The market value of Donegal Group A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Donegal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Donegal Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Donegal Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Donegal Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Donegal Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Donegal Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Donegal Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Donegal Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.