Deere Company Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DE Stock | USD 466.00 4.96 1.08% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Deere Company is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Deere buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Deere positions.
Check out Deere Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Deere and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Deere Company. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
Deere |
Execute Deere Buy or Sell Advice
The Deere recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Deere Company. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Deere Company or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Deere's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Deere Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 8th of November 2024 Deere paid $ 1.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Deere Stock Surges 5 percent Amid Strong Financial Performance |
Deere Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Deere's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Deere's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Deere daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Deere Company price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Deere returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Deere.
| Mean Return | 0.30 | Value At Risk | -1.86 | Potential Upside | 2.16 | Standard Deviation | 1.62 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Deere historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Deere Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Hhg Plc | 2024-06-30 | 3.6 M | Gates Bill & Melinda Foundation | 2024-09-30 | 3.6 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 3.2 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 3 M | State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co | 2024-09-30 | 3 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 2.8 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2.6 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 2.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 21.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 16.4 M |
Deere Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 397M | (2.5B) | (2.1B) | 279M | 251.1M | 263.7M | |
| Change In Cash | 3.2B | 953M | (3.2B) | 2.7B | 3.1B | 3.2B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 4.8B | 5.1B | 911M | 4.1B | 4.7B | 5.0B | |
| Depreciation | 2.1B | 2.1B | 1.9B | 2.0B | 2.3B | 2.4B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 672M | (326M) | (30M) | 427M | 491.1M | 515.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 956M | 1.0B | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.6B | 1.7B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.7B | 2.6B | 3.8B | 4.5B | 5.1B | 5.4B | |
| Net Income | 2.8B | 6.0B | 7.1B | 10.2B | 11.7B | 12.3B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 7.2B | 8.1B | 4.9B | 7.6B | 8.8B | 9.2B | |
| Investments | (2.6B) | (85M) | (8.5B) | (8.7B) | (7.9B) | (7.5B) | |
| Change Receivables | (869M) | 2.0B | 969M | (2.5B) | (2.9B) | (2.7B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 528M | 2.5B | 5.8B | 11.5B | 13.3B | 13.9B | |
| Change To Netincome | 391M | (683M) | (12M) | (244M) | (219.6M) | (208.6M) |
Deere Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Deere or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Deere's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Deere stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Deere Volatility Alert
Deere Company has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.38 and kurtosis of 7.47. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Deere's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Deere's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Deere Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Deere's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Deere's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Deere and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Deere or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Deere's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Deere by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Deere to competition |
| Fundamentals | Deere | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.35 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0786 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.19 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 182.86 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 273.6 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.17 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.28 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.37 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 22.06 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.52 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.25 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 61.22 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 21.12 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 17.04 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 10.15 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.77 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 12.74 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 63.69 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.55 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.98 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 84.29 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 8.59 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.18 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 25.63 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.24 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 453.81 | |
| Number Of Employees | 83 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.94 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 126.14 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 104.09 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 50.93 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 36.87 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Sheila Talton of 450 shares of Deere subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Deere Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Deere . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Deere Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Deere Company? Buying financial instruments such as Deere Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Deere in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Developed Markets Basket ETFs theme has 24 constituents at this time.
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Check out Deere Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Agricultural & Farm Machinery space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Deere. If investors know Deere will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Deere listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Earnings Share 25.63 | Revenue Per Share 200.394 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) | Return On Assets 0.0786 |
The market value of Deere Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Deere that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Deere's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Deere's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Deere's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Deere's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Deere's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deere is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deere's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.