Commercial Vehicle Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CVGI Stock | USD 1.57 0.05 3.29% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Commercial Vehicle Group is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Commercial Vehicle's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Commercial Vehicle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Commercial and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Commercial Vehicle Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Commercial |
Execute Commercial Vehicle Buy or Sell Advice
The Commercial recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Commercial Vehicle Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Commercial Vehicle Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Commercial Vehicle's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Commercial Vehicle Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Commercial Vehicle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Commercial Vehicle may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Commercial Vehicle has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Commercial Vehicle Group currently holds about 28.5 M in cash with (19.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.85. | |
| Commercial Vehicle has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of tradable shares by Fix Roger L of Commercial Vehicle at 8.14 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Commercial Vehicle Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Commercial Vehicle's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Commercial Vehicle's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Commercial Vehicle daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Commercial Vehicle Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Commercial Vehicle returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Commercial Vehicle.
| Mean Return | -0.53 | Value At Risk | -6.85 | Potential Upside | 6.39 | Standard Deviation | 4.09 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Commercial Vehicle historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Commercial Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 591.5 K | Ironwood Investment Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 524.3 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-12-31 | 454.7 K | Black Diamond Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 350 K | Rbf Llc | 2024-12-31 | 300.1 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 299.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 299 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-12-31 | 225.6 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 200.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.4 M | Royce & Associates, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 2.3 M |
Commercial Vehicle Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 11.0M | (15.5M) | (3.1M) | 6.0M | 5.4M | 5.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 27.2M | (47.5M) | 49.2M | 18.6M | (37.2M) | (35.3M) | |
| Depreciation | 18.5M | 18.5M | 18.2M | 17.6M | 20.3M | 15.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 36.7M | 9.6M | 14.3M | 2.7M | (19.5M) | (18.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 7.1M | 17.7M | 19.7M | 19.7M | 17.7M | 15.0M | |
| Net Income | (37.0M) | 23.7M | (22.0M) | 49.4M | 56.8M | 59.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 50.5M | 35.0M | 31.8M | 37.8M | 43.5M | 47.0M | |
| Change To Inventory | (6.8M) | (50.3M) | (3.7M) | 15M | 13.5M | 14.2M | |
| Change Receivables | (35.7M) | 12.0M | (23.6M) | 19.2M | 22.0M | 23.2M | |
| Net Borrowings | (8.7M) | (14.4M) | 190.3M | (43.8M) | (50.4M) | (47.8M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 13.2M | 26.1M | 17.0M | 19.2M | 22.0M | 11.3M | |
| Investments | (6.4M) | (17.6M) | (19.7M) | (22.4M) | (20.1M) | (21.2M) |
Commercial Vehicle Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Commercial Vehicle or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Commercial Vehicle's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Commercial stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Commercial Vehicle Volatility Alert
Commercial Vehicle Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.57 and kurtosis of 1.39. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Commercial Vehicle's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Commercial Vehicle's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Commercial Vehicle Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Commercial Vehicle's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Commercial Vehicle's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Commercial Vehicle and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Commercial Vehicle or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Commercial Vehicle's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Commercial Vehicle by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Commercial Vehicle to competition |
| Fundamentals | Commercial Vehicle | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.23 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0138 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.03) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 192.14 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 34.5 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.20 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 71.28 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 882.14 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.57 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.39 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.07 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 994.68 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 82.31 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 64.5 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 49.41 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 28.5 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.85 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 173.65 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.77 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.16 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.05 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (19.5 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.40 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.07) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.99 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 5.0 | |
| Beta | 2.4 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 53.99 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 483.21 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (46.18 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 182.55 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 308.28 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Richard Tajer of 29842 shares of Commercial Vehicle subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Commercial Vehicle Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Commercial . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Commercial Vehicle Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Commercial Vehicle Group? Buying financial instruments such as Commercial Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Commercial Vehicle in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Consumption Thematic Idea Now
Consumption
Companies that deliver final goods such as cars or clothing for consumption by consumers. The Consumption theme has 19 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumption Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Commercial Vehicle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commercial Vehicle. If investors know Commercial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Commercial Vehicle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.286 | Earnings Share (1.07) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Commercial Vehicle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Commercial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Commercial Vehicle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Commercial Vehicle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Commercial Vehicle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Commercial Vehicle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Commercial Vehicle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Commercial Vehicle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Commercial Vehicle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.