American Woodmark Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AMWD Stock  USD 59.02  1.05  1.81%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Woodmark is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides American Woodmark buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AMWD positions.
  
Check out American Woodmark Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. American Woodmark. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.

Execute American Woodmark Buy or Sell Advice

The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Woodmark. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Woodmark or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Woodmark's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American WoodmarkBuy American Woodmark
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon American Woodmark has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.23), Jensen Alpha of (0.49), Total Risk Alpha of (0.33) and Treynor Ratio of (0.55)
Our advice module provides unbiased investment recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on American Woodmark. Our advice engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure American Woodmark is not overpriced, please confirm all American Woodmark fundamentals, including its gross profit, book value per share, and the relationship between the price to earning and cash per share . Given that American Woodmark has a price to earning of 13.51 X, we suggest you to validate American Woodmark market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

American Woodmark Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

American Woodmark generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Acquisition by Robert Adams of 1720 shares of American Woodmark subject to Rule 16b-3

American Woodmark Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of American Woodmark's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Woodmark's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Woodmark daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Woodmark price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Woodmark returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Woodmark.
Mean Return
-0.6
Value At Risk
-3.51
Potential Upside
2.42
Standard Deviation
2.22
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Woodmark historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

American Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Paradigm Capital Management, Inc.2024-12-31
301.2 K
Lsv Asset Management2024-12-31
265 K
Victory Capital Management Inc.2024-12-31
257.4 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
217.9 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
187.7 K
Wcm Investment Management2024-12-31
178.1 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
172.5 K
Allianz Asset Management Ag2024-12-31
165.6 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
163.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
2.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
1.6 M
Note, although American Woodmark's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

American Woodmark Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(31.2M)(70.4M)30.9M28.5M25.6M26.9M
Change In Cash(6.0M)(68.7M)19.4M45.7M41.1M43.2M
Free Cash Flow116.0M(19.7M)154.1M139.7M160.7M168.7M
Depreciation100.3M96.6M93.7M78.8M90.6M95.1M
Other Non Cash Items46.4M101.8M103.0M41.1M47.2M49.6M
Capital Expenditures35.7M44.1M42.6M91.0M104.7M109.9M
Net Income58.8M(29.7M)93.7M116.2M133.6M140.3M
End Period Cash Flow91.1M22.3M41.7M87.4M100.5M56.2M
Change Receivables21.0M(42.8M)(11.4M)35.0M40.3M42.3M
Net Borrowings(98.5M)(94.0M)(15.5M)(132.9M)(119.6M)(113.6M)
Change To Netincome(4.2M)3.9M54.2M(10.3M)(11.8M)(11.2M)
Investments(42.4M)(51.6M)(43.2M)(92.2M)(83.0M)(78.8M)

American Woodmark Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Woodmark or Building Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Woodmark's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.11
σ
Overall volatility
2.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

American Woodmark Volatility Alert

American Woodmark exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.62 and kurtosis of 14.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Woodmark's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Woodmark's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

American Woodmark Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing American Woodmark's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Woodmark's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Woodmark and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Woodmark or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Woodmark's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Woodmark by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare American Woodmark to competition
FundamentalsAmerican WoodmarkPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0595-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.35 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding14.83 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.29 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.71 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted524.85 K4.71 M
Price To Earning13.51 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.95 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.50 X11.42 X
Revenue1.85 B9.43 B
Gross Profit322.44 M27.38 B
EBITDA238.96 M3.9 B
Net Income116.22 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents44.83 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.70 X5.01 X
Total Debt508.46 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.72 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.26 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share61.18 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations230.75 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.27 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share6.48 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.46 X4.89 X
Target Price91.67
Number Of Employees8.6 K18.84 K
Beta1.58-0.15
Market Capitalization875.54 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.59 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings543.27 M9.33 B
Working Capital206.98 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Tang Vance W of American Woodmark subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

American Woodmark Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About American Woodmark Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell American Woodmark? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having American Woodmark in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Banking Thematic Idea Now

Banking
Banking Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Banking theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Banking Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether American Woodmark is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Woodmark's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Woodmark's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out American Woodmark Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Woodmark. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Woodmark listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
Earnings Share
6.48
Revenue Per Share
114.295
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Return On Assets
0.0595
The market value of American Woodmark is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Woodmark's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Woodmark's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Woodmark's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Woodmark's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Woodmark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Woodmark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Woodmark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.