Alcon AG (Switzerland) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALC Stock  CHF 81.28  0.64  0.78%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alcon AG is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alcon AG given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alcon AG, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Alcon AG Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Alcon Stock please use our How to Invest in Alcon AG guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alcon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alcon AG. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Alcon AG Buy or Sell Advice

The Alcon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alcon AG. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alcon AG or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alcon AG's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alcon AGBuy Alcon AG
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alcon AG has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0154, Jensen Alpha of 0.0082, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0071, Sortino Ratio of 0.0054 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0132
Macroaxis provides advice on Alcon AG to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Alcon AG. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Alcon AG is not overpriced, please confirm all Alcon AG fundamentals, including its price to sales, cash per share, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and ebitda .

Alcon AG Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Alcon AG Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alcon AG's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alcon AG's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alcon AG daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alcon AG price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alcon AG returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alcon AG.
Mean Return
0.02
Value At Risk
-1.56
Potential Upside
1.81
Standard Deviation
1.18
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alcon AG historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alcon AG Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alcon AG or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alcon AG's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alcon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Alcon AG Volatility Alert

Alcon AG has relatively low volatility with skewness of -1.65 and kurtosis of 6.88. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alcon AG's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alcon AG's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alcon AG Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alcon AG's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alcon AG's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alcon AG and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alcon AG or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alcon AG's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alcon AG by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alcon AG to competition
FundamentalsAlcon AGPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0295-0.31
Return On Asset0.0217-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation35.45 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding491.7 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.06 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions60.85 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.77 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.55 X11.42 X
Revenue8.29 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.7 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.76 B3.9 B
Net Income376 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents721 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.48 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.97 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity19.50 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.09 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share39.96 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.34 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.06 X3.12 X
Target Price76.82
Number Of Employees24 K18.84 K
Beta0.72-0.15
Market Capitalization34.01 B19.03 B
Total Asset28 B29.47 B
Z Score4.88.72
Annual Yield0 %
Net Asset28 B
Last Dividend Paid0.22

Alcon AG Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alcon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alcon AG Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alcon AG? Buying financial instruments such as Alcon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Alcon Stock Analysis

When running Alcon AG's price analysis, check to measure Alcon AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alcon AG is operating at the current time. Most of Alcon AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alcon AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alcon AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alcon AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.