Alcon Ag Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ALC Stock | USD 91.11 1.81 2.03% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alcon AG is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alcon AG buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alcon AG positions.
Check out Alcon AG Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Alcon Stock refer to our How to Trade Alcon Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alcon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alcon AG. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Alcon |
Execute Alcon AG Buy or Sell Advice
The Alcon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alcon AG. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alcon AG or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alcon AG's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Alcon AG Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Alcon Inc Reports Strong Financial Results for 2024 |
Alcon AG Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alcon AG's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alcon AG's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alcon AG daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alcon AG price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alcon AG returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alcon AG.
| Mean Return | 0.1 | Value At Risk | -1.83 | Potential Upside | 2.11 | Standard Deviation | 1.20 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alcon AG historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alcon Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 6.1 M | Ako Capital Llp | 2024-12-31 | 5.9 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-12-31 | 5.8 M | Clearbridge Advisors, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 5.2 M | Amundi | 2024-12-31 | 4.5 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-12-31 | 4.1 M | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 4.1 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-12-31 | 4.1 M | Brown Brothers Harriman & Co | 2024-12-31 | 4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 19.6 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-12-31 | 15 M |
Alcon AG Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (159M) | (326M) | (217M) | (289.3M) | (47M) | (49.4M) | |
| Change In Cash | 735M | 18M | (595M) | 114M | 582M | 611.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 256M | 165M | 472M | 537M | 1.4B | 1.5B | |
| Depreciation | 1.6B | 1.2B | 1.1B | 1.3B | 1.2B | 1.2B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (225M) | (116M) | 18M | (432.1M) | 52M | 85.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 567M | 1.2B | 745M | 851M | 670M | 625.7M | |
| Net Income | (531M) | 376M | 335M | 1.0B | 1.0B | 1.1B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.6B | 1.6B | 980M | 1.1B | 1.7B | 1.1B | |
| Net Borrowings | 3.3B | 536M | (63M) | 208M | 239.2M | 227.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 290M | (101M) | 128M | 380M | 437M | 458.9M | |
| Investments | (572M) | (18M) | (1.9B) | (1.1B) | (1.2B) | (1.2B) |
Alcon AG Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alcon AG or Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alcon AG's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alcon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Alcon AG Volatility Alert
Alcon AG has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.05 and kurtosis of 3.18. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alcon AG's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alcon AG's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alcon AG Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alcon AG's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alcon AG's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alcon AG and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alcon AG or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alcon AG's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alcon AG by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alcon AG to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alcon AG | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0483 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0295 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.10 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 49.88 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 494.62 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.19 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 68.87 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.21 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 62.60 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.32 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.66 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 9.91 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 5.51 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.64 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.02 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.03 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.10 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 101 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.22 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.16 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 43.57 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.08 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.09 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.40 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.28 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 100.37 | |
| Number Of Employees | 25 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.76 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 46.15 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 30.35 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 28.5 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.03 B | 1.48 B |
Alcon AG Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alcon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Alcon AG Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alcon AG? Buying financial instruments such as Alcon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Alcon AG in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Consumer Goods Thematic Idea Now
Consumer Goods
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Consumer Goods theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Goods Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Alcon AG Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Alcon Stock refer to our How to Trade Alcon Stock guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alcon AG. If investors know Alcon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alcon AG listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | Earnings Share 2.4 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.064 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Alcon AG is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alcon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alcon AG's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alcon AG's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alcon AG's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alcon AG's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alcon AG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alcon AG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alcon AG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.