Aegon Nv Adr Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AEG Stock  USD 6.21  0.23  3.85%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aegon NV ADR is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Aegon NV buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Aegon NV positions.
  
Check out Aegon NV Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aegon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Aegon NV ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Aegon NV Buy or Sell Advice

The Aegon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aegon NV ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aegon NV ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aegon NV's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aegon NVBuy Aegon NV
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aegon NV ADR has a Mean Deviation of 1.2, Standard Deviation of 1.87 and Variance of 3.48
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aegon NV ADR. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aegon NV is not overpriced, please confirm all Aegon NV ADR fundamentals, including its price to sales, cash per share, and the relationship between the number of shares shorted and ebitda . Given that Aegon NV ADR has a price to earning of 18.40 X, we suggest you to validate Aegon NV ADR market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Aegon NV Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aegon NV ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 29.54 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (346 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.02 B.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Aegon reports second half year 2024 results

Aegon NV Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aegon NV's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aegon NV's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aegon NV daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aegon NV ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aegon NV returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aegon NV.
Mean Return
-0.07
Value At Risk
-2.31
Potential Upside
1.79
Standard Deviation
1.87
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aegon NV historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aegon Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-12-31
1.4 M
Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa2024-12-31
1.2 M
Summit Global Investments2024-12-31
M
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
912.6 K
Cubist Systematic Strategies, Llc2024-12-31
803.6 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
803.1 K
Optiver Holding B.v.2024-12-31
766.5 K
Abc Arbitrage Sa2024-12-31
576.3 K
Todd Asset Management2024-09-30
537.8 K
Dodge & Cox2024-12-31
117.8 M
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-09-30
6.4 M
Note, although Aegon NV's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aegon NV Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(3.9B)(1.5B)1.6B(4.4B)(4.0B)(3.8B)
Free Cash Flow(3.0B)(1.9B)2.8B748M673.2M639.5M
Depreciation722M1.2B1.2B(163M)(187.5M)(178.1M)
Other Non Cash Items(23.0B)(12.7B)63.4B(11.2B)(10.1B)(9.6B)
Dividends Paid63M121M167M(494M)(444.6M)(422.4M)
Capital Expenditures120M112M98M116M133.4M109.6M
Net Income(364M)2.4B(922M)(346M)(311.4M)(295.8M)
End Period Cash Flow8.4B6.9B8.5B4.1B4.7B5.8B
Investments(139M)(2M)616M(2.0B)(1.8B)(1.7B)
Net Borrowings(2.1B)(541M)855M(566M)(509.4M)(534.9M)
Change To Netincome(24.7B)(20.8B)(14.8B)61.9B71.1B74.7B

Aegon NV Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aegon NV or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aegon NV's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aegon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
1.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Aegon NV Volatility Alert

Aegon NV ADR exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.76 and kurtosis of 12.74. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aegon NV's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aegon NV's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aegon NV Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aegon NV's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aegon NV's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aegon NV and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aegon NV or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aegon NV's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aegon NV by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aegon NV to competition
FundamentalsAegon NVPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0138-0.31
Return On Asset-4.0E-4-0.14
Profit Margin(0) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.7 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.62 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.14 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions10.04 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.54 M4.71 M
Price To Earning18.40 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.10 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.78 X11.42 X
Revenue29.54 B9.43 B
Gross Profit5.02 B27.38 B
EBITDA(110 K)3.9 B
Net Income(346 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.58 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share10.05 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.92 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.39 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.08 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations864 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.28 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.08) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth14.09 X4.89 X
Target Price7.06
Number Of Employees15.7 K18.84 K
Beta1.07-0.15
Market Capitalization9.97 B19.03 B
Total Asset301.58 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings5.1 B9.33 B
Working Capital44.56 B1.48 B

Aegon NV Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aegon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aegon NV Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aegon NV ADR? Buying financial instruments such as Aegon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aegon NV in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Utilities
Utilities Theme
Highly leveraged corporations that deliver utilities such as power, water or gas to public or business. The Utilities theme has 30 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Utilities Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Aegon NV ADR is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aegon NV's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aegon NV's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aegon Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Aegon NV Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aegon NV. If investors know Aegon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aegon NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.60)
Dividend Share
0.32
Earnings Share
(0.08)
Revenue Per Share
7.257
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Aegon NV ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aegon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aegon NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aegon NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aegon NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aegon NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aegon NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aegon NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aegon NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.