Renrenle Commercial (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

002336 Stock   6.63  0.35  5.01%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Renrenle Commercial Group is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Renrenle Commercial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 002336 positions.
  
Check out Renrenle Commercial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Renrenle and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Renrenle Commercial Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Renrenle Commercial Buy or Sell Advice

The Renrenle recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Renrenle Commercial Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Renrenle Commercial Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Renrenle Commercial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Renrenle CommercialBuy Renrenle Commercial
Buy

Market Performance

StrongDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Renrenle Commercial Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3022, Jensen Alpha of 1.33, Total Risk Alpha of 1.33, Sortino Ratio of 0.4097 and Treynor Ratio of 1.86
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Renrenle Commercial. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Renrenle Commercial is not overpriced, please check all Renrenle Commercial fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, price to book, and the relationship between the current valuation and shares owned by insiders .

Renrenle Commercial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Renrenle Commercial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Renrenle Commercial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 2.85 B. Net Loss for the year was (497.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.02 B.
About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Renrenle Commercial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Renrenle Commercial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Renrenle Commercial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Renrenle Commercial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Renrenle Commercial Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Renrenle Commercial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Renrenle Commercial.
Mean Return
1.34
Value At Risk
-4.97
Potential Upside
5.06
Standard Deviation
3.68
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Renrenle Commercial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Renrenle Commercial Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(161.7M)(7.5M)359.2M290.1M495.4M520.2M
Capital Expenditures151.1M142.0M85.7M26.2M19.6M18.6M
Net Income38.0M35.4M(857.3M)(507.2M)(497.6M)(472.7M)
Dividends Paid7.3M8.4M5.5M3.1M6.1M5.8M
Change In Cash92.6M561.3M(949.9M)39.8M101.8M106.8M
Net Borrowings170.9M(45.5M)(602.7M)(217.7M)(195.9M)(186.1M)
Depreciation140.7M130.7M449.3M359.0M332.3M232.3M
Change To Netincome(183.6M)(426.2M)148.7M107.2M96.5M101.3M
End Period Cash Flow557.2M1.1B168.6M208.5M310.2M479.5M
Free Cash Flow(251.6M)(255.4M)(105.2M)127.5M189.2M198.7M
Other Non Cash Items108.8M104.3M244.5M194.1M147.6M157.6M

Renrenle Commercial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Renrenle Commercial or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Renrenle Commercial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Renrenle stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
3.71
Ir
Information ratio 0.36

Renrenle Commercial Volatility Alert

Renrenle Commercial Group shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Renrenle Commercial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Renrenle Commercial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Renrenle Commercial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Renrenle Commercial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Renrenle Commercial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Renrenle Commercial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Renrenle Commercial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Renrenle Commercial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Renrenle Commercial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Renrenle Commercial to competition
FundamentalsRenrenle CommercialPeer Average
Return On Equity-6.29-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0909-0.14
Profit Margin(0.27) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.66) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.32 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding440 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders78.50 %10.09 %
Price To Book29.02 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.57 X11.42 X
Revenue2.85 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.02 B27.38 B
EBITDA(405.18 M)3.9 B
Net Income(497.57 M)570.98 M
Total Debt2.05 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share(1.98) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations208.83 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(1.15) X3.12 X
Target Price28.2
Number Of Employees5.13 K18.84 K
Beta0.29-0.15
Market Capitalization1.87 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.91 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(3.47 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(1.74 B)1.48 B
Net Asset3.91 B

Renrenle Commercial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Renrenle . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Renrenle Commercial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Renrenle Commercial Group? Buying financial instruments such as Renrenle Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Renrenle Stock

Renrenle Commercial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Renrenle Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Renrenle with respect to the benefits of owning Renrenle Commercial security.