Yellow Cake Plc Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 5.98

YLLXF Stock  USD 6.74  0.19  2.74%   
Yellow Cake's future price is the expected price of Yellow Cake instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yellow Cake plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yellow Cake Backtesting, Yellow Cake Valuation, Yellow Cake Correlation, Yellow Cake Hype Analysis, Yellow Cake Volatility, Yellow Cake History as well as Yellow Cake Performance.
  
Please specify Yellow Cake's target price for which you would like Yellow Cake odds to be computed.

Yellow Cake Target Price Odds to finish below 5.98

The tendency of Yellow OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 5.98  or more in 90 days
 6.74 90 days 5.98 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yellow Cake to drop to $ 5.98  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Yellow Cake plc probability density function shows the probability of Yellow OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yellow Cake plc price to stay between $ 5.98  and its current price of $6.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Yellow Cake has a beta of 0.23. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yellow Cake average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yellow Cake plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yellow Cake plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Yellow Cake Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yellow Cake

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yellow Cake plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Yellow Cake's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.016.9310.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.065.989.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.016.9410.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.737.077.41
Details

Yellow Cake Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yellow Cake is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yellow Cake's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yellow Cake plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yellow Cake within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Yellow Cake Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yellow Cake for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yellow Cake plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yellow Cake plc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Yellow Cake plc has accumulated about 153.14 M in cash with (9.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.83.

Yellow Cake Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yellow OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yellow Cake's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yellow Cake's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding183.7 M

Yellow Cake Technical Analysis

Yellow Cake's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yellow OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yellow Cake plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yellow OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yellow Cake Predictive Forecast Models

Yellow Cake's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yellow Cake's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yellow Cake's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yellow Cake plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yellow Cake for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yellow Cake plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yellow Cake plc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Yellow Cake plc has accumulated about 153.14 M in cash with (9.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.83.

Other Information on Investing in Yellow OTC Stock

Yellow Cake financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yellow OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yellow with respect to the benefits of owning Yellow Cake security.