Yellow Cake OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

YLLXF Stock  USD 6.74  0.19  2.74%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Yellow Cake plc on the next trading day is expected to be 6.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.60. Yellow OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Yellow Cake's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Yellow Cake is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Yellow Cake Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Yellow Cake plc on the next trading day is expected to be 6.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yellow OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yellow Cake's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Yellow Cake OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Yellow Cake Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Yellow Cake's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yellow Cake's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.81 and 10.67, respectively. We have considered Yellow Cake's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.74
6.74
Expected Value
10.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yellow Cake otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yellow Cake otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.9451
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0011
MADMean absolute deviation0.1965
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0268
SAESum of the absolute errors11.595
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Yellow Cake plc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Yellow Cake. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Yellow Cake

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yellow Cake plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Yellow Cake's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.016.9310.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.065.989.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Yellow Cake

For every potential investor in Yellow, whether a beginner or expert, Yellow Cake's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yellow OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yellow. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yellow Cake's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Yellow Cake plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yellow Cake's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yellow Cake's current price.

Yellow Cake Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yellow Cake otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yellow Cake shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yellow Cake otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yellow Cake plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Yellow Cake Risk Indicators

The analysis of Yellow Cake's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yellow Cake's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yellow otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Yellow OTC Stock

Yellow Cake financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yellow OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yellow with respect to the benefits of owning Yellow Cake security.