Yellow Cake OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| YLLXF Stock | USD 6.95 0.37 5.62% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Yellow Cake plc on the next trading day is expected to be 6.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.19. Yellow OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Yellow Cake's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Yellow |
Yellow Cake Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Yellow Cake plc on the next trading day is expected to be 6.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yellow OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yellow Cake's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Yellow Cake OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
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Yellow Cake Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Yellow Cake's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yellow Cake's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.02 and 10.80, respectively. We have considered Yellow Cake's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yellow Cake otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yellow Cake otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7062 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0041 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1865 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0255 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.1915 |
Predictive Modules for Yellow Cake
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yellow Cake plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Yellow Cake's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Yellow Cake
For every potential investor in Yellow, whether a beginner or expert, Yellow Cake's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yellow OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yellow. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yellow Cake's price trends.View Yellow Cake Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Yellow Cake plc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yellow Cake's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yellow Cake's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Yellow Cake Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yellow Cake otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yellow Cake shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yellow Cake otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yellow Cake plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.95 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.19 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.37 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.14 |
Yellow Cake Risk Indicators
The analysis of Yellow Cake's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yellow Cake's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yellow otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.9 | |||
| Variance | 15.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.71) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Yellow OTC Stock
Yellow Cake financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yellow OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yellow with respect to the benefits of owning Yellow Cake security.