Uwm Holdings Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.04

UWMC Stock  USD 6.28  0.19  2.94%   
UWM Holdings' future price is the expected price of UWM Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of UWM Holdings Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out UWM Holdings Backtesting, UWM Holdings Valuation, UWM Holdings Correlation, UWM Holdings Hype Analysis, UWM Holdings Volatility, UWM Holdings History as well as UWM Holdings Performance.
  
At present, UWM Holdings' Price Book Value Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.40, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is projected to grow to (47.87). Please specify UWM Holdings' target price for which you would like UWM Holdings odds to be computed.

UWM Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 0.04

The tendency of UWM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.04  or more in 90 days
 6.28 90 days 0.04 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UWM Holdings to drop to $ 0.04  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This UWM Holdings Corp probability density function shows the probability of UWM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UWM Holdings Corp price to stay between $ 0.04  and its current price of $6.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days UWM Holdings has a beta of 0.61. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, UWM Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding UWM Holdings Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally UWM Holdings Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   UWM Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for UWM Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UWM Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.116.358.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.156.398.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.306.548.78
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.365.896.54
Details

UWM Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UWM Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UWM Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UWM Holdings Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UWM Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
1.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

UWM Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UWM Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UWM Holdings Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
UWM Holdings Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
UWM Holdings Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (13.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.09 B.
About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: UWM Holdings Corporation Announces Pricing of Upsized Offering of 800 Million of 6. ...

UWM Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UWM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential UWM Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UWM Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding93.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments497.5 M

UWM Holdings Technical Analysis

UWM Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UWM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UWM Holdings Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing UWM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

UWM Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

UWM Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many UWM Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UWM Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about UWM Holdings Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about UWM Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UWM Holdings Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
UWM Holdings Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
UWM Holdings Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (13.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.09 B.
About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: UWM Holdings Corporation Announces Pricing of Upsized Offering of 800 Million of 6. ...
When determining whether UWM Holdings Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of UWM Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Uwm Holdings Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Uwm Holdings Corp Stock:
Check out UWM Holdings Backtesting, UWM Holdings Valuation, UWM Holdings Correlation, UWM Holdings Hype Analysis, UWM Holdings Volatility, UWM Holdings History as well as UWM Holdings Performance.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UWM Holdings. If investors know UWM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UWM Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.62)
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
(0.23)
Revenue Per Share
28.467
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.665
The market value of UWM Holdings Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UWM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UWM Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UWM Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UWM Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UWM Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UWM Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UWM Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UWM Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.