Stewart Information Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43.58
| STC Stock | USD 74.60 0.40 0.54% |
Stewart |
Stewart Information Target Price Odds to finish below 43.58
The tendency of Stewart Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 43.58 or more in 90 days |
| 74.60 | 90 days | 43.58 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stewart Information to drop to $ 43.58 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Stewart Information Services probability density function shows the probability of Stewart Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stewart Information price to stay between $ 43.58 and its current price of $74.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.8 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This usually implies Stewart Information Services market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Stewart Information is expected to follow. Additionally Stewart Information Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Stewart Information Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stewart Information
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stewart Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stewart Information's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stewart Information Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stewart Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stewart Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stewart Information Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stewart Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0049 |
Stewart Information Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stewart Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stewart Information can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stewart Information generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Stewart Title National Commercial Services Announces Rebrand of Specialized Energy Group |
Stewart Information Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stewart Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stewart Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stewart Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 223.4 M |
Stewart Information Technical Analysis
Stewart Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stewart Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stewart Information Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stewart Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stewart Information Predictive Forecast Models
Stewart Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stewart Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stewart Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stewart Information
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stewart Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stewart Information help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stewart Information generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Stewart Title National Commercial Services Announces Rebrand of Specialized Energy Group |
Check out Stewart Information Backtesting, Stewart Information Valuation, Stewart Information Correlation, Stewart Information Hype Analysis, Stewart Information Volatility, Stewart Information History as well as Stewart Information Performance. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stewart Information. If investors know Stewart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stewart Information listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.098 | Dividend Share 1.92 | Earnings Share 2.12 | Revenue Per Share 87.486 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.11 |
The market value of Stewart Information is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stewart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stewart Information's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stewart Information's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stewart Information's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stewart Information's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stewart Information's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stewart Information is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stewart Information's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.