Stewart Information Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| STC Stock | USD 74.22 2.96 3.84% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stewart Information Services on the next trading day is expected to be 74.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.06. Stewart Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Stewart Information stock prices and determine the direction of Stewart Information Services's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Stewart Information's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Stewart |
Stewart Information Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stewart Information Services on the next trading day is expected to be 74.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97, mean absolute percentage error of 1.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stewart Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stewart Information's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stewart Information Stock Forecast Pattern
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Stewart Information Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Stewart Information's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stewart Information's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 72.93 and 76.70, respectively. We have considered Stewart Information's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stewart Information stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stewart Information stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1354 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9672 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0135 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 57.0644 |
Predictive Modules for Stewart Information
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stewart Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stewart Information's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Stewart Information
For every potential investor in Stewart, whether a beginner or expert, Stewart Information's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stewart Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stewart. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stewart Information's price trends.Stewart Information Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stewart Information stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stewart Information could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stewart Information by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Stewart Information Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Stewart Information's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Stewart Information's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Stewart Information Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stewart Information stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stewart Information shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stewart Information stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stewart Information Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10150.2 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.92) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 75.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 75.24 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.96) |
Stewart Information Risk Indicators
The analysis of Stewart Information's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stewart Information's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stewart stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.38 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Stewart Information offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Stewart Information's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Stewart Information Services Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Stewart Information Services Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stewart Information to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stewart Information. If investors know Stewart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stewart Information listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.098 | Dividend Share 1.92 | Earnings Share 2.12 | Revenue Per Share 87.486 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.11 |
The market value of Stewart Information is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stewart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stewart Information's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stewart Information's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stewart Information's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stewart Information's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stewart Information's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stewart Information is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stewart Information's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.