Synchrony Financial (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 402.50
| S1YF34 Stock | BRL 402.50 0.12 0.03% |
Synchrony |
Synchrony Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 402.50
The tendency of Synchrony Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 402.50 | 90 days | 402.50 | about 15.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Synchrony Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.38 (This Synchrony Financial probability density function shows the probability of Synchrony Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Synchrony Financial has a beta of 0.24. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Synchrony Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Synchrony Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Synchrony Financial has an alpha of 0.5869, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Synchrony Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Synchrony Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Synchrony Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Synchrony Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Synchrony Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Synchrony Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Synchrony Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Synchrony Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 51.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Synchrony Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Synchrony Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Synchrony Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Synchrony Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.88 | |
| Float Shares | 565.5M | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 661 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 1.03k | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.31% |
Synchrony Financial Technical Analysis
Synchrony Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Synchrony Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Synchrony Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Synchrony Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Synchrony Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Synchrony Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Synchrony Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Synchrony Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Synchrony Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Synchrony Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Synchrony Financial options trading.
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Synchrony Stock
When determining whether Synchrony Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Synchrony Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Synchrony Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Synchrony Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Synchrony Financial Backtesting, Synchrony Financial Valuation, Synchrony Financial Correlation, Synchrony Financial Hype Analysis, Synchrony Financial Volatility, Synchrony Financial History as well as Synchrony Financial Performance. For information on how to trade Synchrony Stock refer to our How to Trade Synchrony Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.