Pennymac Finl Svcs Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 89.98
| PFSI Stock | USD 102.97 0.79 0.77% |
PennyMac |
PennyMac Finl Target Price Odds to finish below 89.98
The tendency of PennyMac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 89.98 or more in 90 days |
| 102.97 | 90 days | 89.98 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PennyMac Finl to drop to $ 89.98 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PennyMac Finl Svcs probability density function shows the probability of PennyMac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PennyMac Finl Svcs price to stay between $ 89.98 and its current price of $102.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.86 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days PennyMac Finl has a beta of 0.56 indicating as returns on the market go up, PennyMac Finl average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PennyMac Finl Svcs will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PennyMac Finl Svcs has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. PennyMac Finl Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PennyMac Finl
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PennyMac Finl Svcs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PennyMac Finl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PennyMac Finl Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PennyMac Finl is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PennyMac Finl's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PennyMac Finl Svcs, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PennyMac Finl within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
PennyMac Finl Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PennyMac Finl for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PennyMac Finl Svcs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PennyMac Finl Svcs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PennyMac Finl Svcs currently holds about 1.52 B in cash with (1.58 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 28.96. | |
| PennyMac Finl Svcs has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 27th of November 2024 PennyMac Finl paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 23229 shares by Jones Doug of PennyMac Finl at 17.52 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
PennyMac Finl Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PennyMac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PennyMac Finl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PennyMac Finl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 948.6 M |
PennyMac Finl Technical Analysis
PennyMac Finl's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PennyMac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PennyMac Finl Svcs. In general, you should focus on analyzing PennyMac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PennyMac Finl Predictive Forecast Models
PennyMac Finl's time-series forecasting models is one of many PennyMac Finl's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PennyMac Finl's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PennyMac Finl Svcs
Checking the ongoing alerts about PennyMac Finl for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PennyMac Finl Svcs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PennyMac Finl Svcs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PennyMac Finl Svcs currently holds about 1.52 B in cash with (1.58 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 28.96. | |
| PennyMac Finl Svcs has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 27th of November 2024 PennyMac Finl paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 23229 shares by Jones Doug of PennyMac Finl at 17.52 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out PennyMac Finl Backtesting, PennyMac Finl Valuation, PennyMac Finl Correlation, PennyMac Finl Hype Analysis, PennyMac Finl Volatility, PennyMac Finl History as well as PennyMac Finl Performance. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PennyMac Finl. If investors know PennyMac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PennyMac Finl listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.27) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 3.18 | Revenue Per Share 54.823 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 4.826 |
The market value of PennyMac Finl Svcs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PennyMac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PennyMac Finl's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PennyMac Finl's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PennyMac Finl's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PennyMac Finl's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PennyMac Finl's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PennyMac Finl is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PennyMac Finl's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.