Pennymac Finl Svcs Stock Beneish M Score

PFSI Stock  USD 106.87  0.51  0.48%   
This module uses fundamental data of PennyMac Finl to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. PennyMac Finl M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out PennyMac Finl Piotroski F Score and PennyMac Finl Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of now, PennyMac Finl's Debt To Assets are decreasing as compared to previous years. The PennyMac Finl's current Long Term Debt To Capitalization is estimated to increase to 0.75, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to decrease to under 7.6 B. As of now, PennyMac Finl's PB Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The PennyMac Finl's current EV To Sales is estimated to increase to 12.71, while Dividend Yield is projected to decrease to 0.01.
At this time, it appears that PennyMac Finl Svcs is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if PennyMac Finl's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by PennyMac Finl executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of PennyMac Finl's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.62
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.85

Focus
Asset Quality

0.98

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.94

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.05

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.94

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.06

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.12

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.12

Focus

PennyMac Finl Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if PennyMac Finl's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables125.6 M132.3 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.6 B1.4 B
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets10.6 B18.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets891.5 M938.4 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total18.8 B17.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment113.8 M108.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization66.5 M70 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative605.8 M577 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities3.9 B5.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total10.6 B10.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt7.3 B12.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt3.1 B3.8 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments9.8 M10.3 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments1.1 M1.1 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Gross Profit Margin0.980.9307
Notably Up
Slightly volatile

PennyMac Finl Svcs Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between PennyMac Finl's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards PennyMac Finl in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find PennyMac Finl's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About PennyMac Finl Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

66.52 Million

As of now, PennyMac Finl's Depreciation And Amortization is increasing as compared to previous years.

PennyMac Finl Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as PennyMac Finl. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.1B26.4B13.0B8.3B132.3M125.6M
Total Revenue1.7B5.5B4.0B2.0B1.4B1.6B
Total Assets10.2B31.6B18.8B16.8B18.8B10.6B
Total Current Assets6.6B27.5B13.9B10.3B938.4M891.5M
Net Debt6.9B26.4B13.6B10.5B12.6B7.3B
Short Term Debt4.1B9.7B7.3B3.3B3.8B3.1B
Long Term Debt5.9B1.9B6.6B8.7B9.7B10.2B
Operating Income(79.6M)2.2B1.3B615.0M710.0M518.7M
Investments409.4M972.5M(426.1M)(877.2M)(616.0M)(585.2M)
Gross Profit Margin0.410.730.540.340.930.98

PennyMac Finl ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, PennyMac Finl's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to PennyMac Finl's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About PennyMac Finl Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze PennyMac Finl Svcs's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of PennyMac Finl using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of PennyMac Finl Svcs based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether PennyMac Finl Svcs offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of PennyMac Finl's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Pennymac Finl Svcs Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Pennymac Finl Svcs Stock:
Check out PennyMac Finl Piotroski F Score and PennyMac Finl Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PennyMac Finl. If investors know PennyMac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PennyMac Finl listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.27)
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
3.18
Revenue Per Share
54.823
Quarterly Revenue Growth
4.826
The market value of PennyMac Finl Svcs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PennyMac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PennyMac Finl's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PennyMac Finl's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PennyMac Finl's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PennyMac Finl's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PennyMac Finl's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PennyMac Finl is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PennyMac Finl's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.