Oportun Financial Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.86
| OPRT Stock | USD 3.86 0.06 1.58% |
Closest to current price Oportun long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Oportun |
Oportun Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 3.86
The tendency of Oportun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 3.86 | 90 days | 3.86 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oportun Financial to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Oportun Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Oportun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.43 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Oportun Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Oportun Financial Corp has an alpha of 0.3531, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oportun Financial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Oportun Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oportun Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oportun Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oportun Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oportun Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oportun Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oportun Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Oportun Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oportun Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oportun Financial Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oportun Financial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Oportun Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (179.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 791.87 M. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Jacobs Levy Equity Management Inc. Decreases Stock Holdings in Oportun Financial Co. |
Oportun Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oportun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oportun Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oportun Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 91.2 M |
Oportun Financial Technical Analysis
Oportun Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oportun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oportun Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oportun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oportun Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Oportun Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oportun Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oportun Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oportun Financial Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oportun Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oportun Financial Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oportun Financial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Oportun Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (179.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 791.87 M. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Jacobs Levy Equity Management Inc. Decreases Stock Holdings in Oportun Financial Co. |
Additional Tools for Oportun Stock Analysis
When running Oportun Financial's price analysis, check to measure Oportun Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oportun Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Oportun Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oportun Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oportun Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oportun Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.