Jiayin Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.74
| JFIN Stock | USD 6.43 0.17 2.72% |
Jiayin |
Jiayin Target Price Odds to finish over 17.74
The tendency of Jiayin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 17.74 or more in 90 days |
| 6.43 | 90 days | 17.74 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jiayin to move over $ 17.74 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Jiayin Group probability density function shows the probability of Jiayin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jiayin Group price to stay between its current price of $ 6.43 and $ 17.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.68 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Jiayin has a beta of 0.0821. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jiayin average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jiayin Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jiayin Group has an alpha of 0.2361, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jiayin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jiayin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiayin Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jiayin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jiayin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jiayin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jiayin Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jiayin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Jiayin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jiayin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jiayin Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jiayin Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Jiayin Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Jiayin Group Inc. Announces Purchase of Commercial Property |
Jiayin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jiayin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jiayin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jiayin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 370.2 M |
Jiayin Technical Analysis
Jiayin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jiayin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jiayin Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jiayin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jiayin Predictive Forecast Models
Jiayin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jiayin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jiayin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jiayin Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jiayin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jiayin Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jiayin Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Jiayin Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Jiayin Group Inc. Announces Purchase of Commercial Property |
Check out Jiayin Backtesting, Jiayin Valuation, Jiayin Correlation, Jiayin Hype Analysis, Jiayin Volatility, Jiayin History as well as Jiayin Performance. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jiayin. If investors know Jiayin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jiayin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.26) | Earnings Share 2.96 | Revenue Per Share 112.933 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.155 | Return On Assets 0.1433 |
The market value of Jiayin Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jiayin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jiayin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jiayin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jiayin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jiayin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jiayin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jiayin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jiayin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.