Hartford Financial Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 104.51
| HIG Stock | USD 107.06 1.99 1.82% |
Hartford |
Hartford Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 104.51
The tendency of Hartford Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 104.51 or more in 90 days |
| 107.06 | 90 days | 104.51 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hartford Financial to drop to $ 104.51 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hartford Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of Hartford Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hartford Financial price to stay between $ 104.51 and its current price of $107.06 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.08 . This usually indicates Hartford Financial Services market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hartford Financial is expected to follow. Additionally Hartford Financial Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hartford Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hartford Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hartford Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hartford Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hartford Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hartford Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hartford Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hartford Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Hartford Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hartford Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hartford Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hartford Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Acquisition by Charles Kovaleski of 108 shares of Old Republic at 37.46 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Hartford Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hartford Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hartford Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hartford Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 311.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 126 M |
Hartford Financial Technical Analysis
Hartford Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hartford Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hartford Financial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hartford Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hartford Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Hartford Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hartford Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hartford Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hartford Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hartford Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hartford Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hartford Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Acquisition by Charles Kovaleski of 108 shares of Old Republic at 37.46 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Hartford Financial Backtesting, Hartford Financial Valuation, Hartford Financial Correlation, Hartford Financial Hype Analysis, Hartford Financial Volatility, Hartford Financial History as well as Hartford Financial Performance. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Multi-line Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hartford Financial. If investors know Hartford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hartford Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.225 | Dividend Share 1.88 | Earnings Share 9.96 | Revenue Per Share 87.921 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.095 |
The market value of Hartford Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hartford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hartford Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hartford Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hartford Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hartford Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hartford Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hartford Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hartford Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.