Hiscox Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 28.86

HCXLY Stock  USD 28.86  1.36  4.95%   
Hiscox's future price is the expected price of Hiscox instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hiscox performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hiscox Backtesting, Hiscox Valuation, Hiscox Correlation, Hiscox Hype Analysis, Hiscox Volatility, Hiscox History as well as Hiscox Performance.
  
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Hiscox Target Price Odds to finish over 28.86

The tendency of Hiscox Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 28.86 90 days 28.86 
about 28.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hiscox to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.55 (This Hiscox probability density function shows the probability of Hiscox Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hiscox has a beta of -0.43. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hiscox are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hiscox is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hiscox has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hiscox Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hiscox

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hiscox. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.9228.8630.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.8423.7831.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.7328.6730.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.2028.1230.04
Details

Hiscox Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hiscox is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hiscox's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hiscox, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hiscox within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.43
σ
Overall volatility
1.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Hiscox Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hiscox for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hiscox can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hiscox has accumulated 743.7 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.29, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Hiscox has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hiscox until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hiscox's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hiscox sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hiscox to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hiscox's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Hiscox Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hiscox Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hiscox's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hiscox's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding346.5 M

Hiscox Technical Analysis

Hiscox's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hiscox Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hiscox. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hiscox Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hiscox Predictive Forecast Models

Hiscox's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hiscox's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hiscox's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hiscox

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hiscox for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hiscox help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hiscox has accumulated 743.7 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.29, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Hiscox has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hiscox until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hiscox's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hiscox sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hiscox to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hiscox's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for Hiscox Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Hiscox's price analysis, check to measure Hiscox's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hiscox is operating at the current time. Most of Hiscox's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hiscox's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hiscox's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hiscox to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.