Galenfeha Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 10.50

GLFH Stock  USD 10.50  10.47  38,082%   
Galenfeha's future price is the expected price of Galenfeha instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Galenfeha performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Galenfeha Backtesting, Galenfeha Valuation, Galenfeha Correlation, Galenfeha Hype Analysis, Galenfeha Volatility, Galenfeha History as well as Galenfeha Performance.
  
Please specify Galenfeha's target price for which you would like Galenfeha odds to be computed.

Galenfeha Target Price Odds to finish over 10.50

The tendency of Galenfeha Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.50 90 days 10.50 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Galenfeha to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Galenfeha probability density function shows the probability of Galenfeha Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 95.0 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Galenfeha will likely underperform. In addition to that Galenfeha has an alpha of 575.2567, implying that it can generate a 575.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Galenfeha Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Galenfeha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galenfeha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.5310.501,060
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.397.881,058
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Galenfeha. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Galenfeha's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Galenfeha's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Galenfeha.

Galenfeha Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Galenfeha is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Galenfeha's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Galenfeha, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Galenfeha within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
575.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones95.00
σ
Overall volatility
1.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Galenfeha Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Galenfeha for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Galenfeha can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Galenfeha is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Galenfeha appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Galenfeha has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Galenfeha until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Galenfeha's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Galenfeha sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Galenfeha to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Galenfeha's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Galenfeha Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Galenfeha Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Galenfeha's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galenfeha's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72.3 M
Short Long Term Debt1.2 M

Galenfeha Technical Analysis

Galenfeha's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Galenfeha Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Galenfeha. In general, you should focus on analyzing Galenfeha Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Galenfeha Predictive Forecast Models

Galenfeha's time-series forecasting models is one of many Galenfeha's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Galenfeha's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Galenfeha

Checking the ongoing alerts about Galenfeha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Galenfeha help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Galenfeha is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Galenfeha appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Galenfeha has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Galenfeha until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Galenfeha's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Galenfeha sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Galenfeha to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Galenfeha's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Galenfeha Pink Sheet

Galenfeha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Galenfeha Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Galenfeha with respect to the benefits of owning Galenfeha security.