Galenfeha Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

GLFH Stock  USD 10.50  10.47  38,082%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Galenfeha on the next trading day is expected to be 5.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.58. Galenfeha Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Galenfeha's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Galenfeha is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Galenfeha 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Galenfeha on the next trading day is expected to be 5.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 3.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Galenfeha Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Galenfeha's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Galenfeha Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Galenfeha Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Galenfeha's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Galenfeha's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.10 and 129.87, respectively. We have considered Galenfeha's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.50
5.26
Expected Value
129.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Galenfeha pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Galenfeha pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.8591
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3211
MADMean absolute deviation0.3259
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1608
SAESum of the absolute errors18.576
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Galenfeha. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Galenfeha and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Galenfeha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galenfeha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.5310.501,060
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.397.881,058
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Galenfeha. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Galenfeha's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Galenfeha's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Galenfeha.

Other Forecasting Options for Galenfeha

For every potential investor in Galenfeha, whether a beginner or expert, Galenfeha's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Galenfeha Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Galenfeha. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Galenfeha's price trends.

Galenfeha Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Galenfeha pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Galenfeha could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Galenfeha by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Galenfeha Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Galenfeha's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Galenfeha's current price.

Galenfeha Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Galenfeha pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Galenfeha shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Galenfeha pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Galenfeha entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Galenfeha Risk Indicators

The analysis of Galenfeha's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Galenfeha's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting galenfeha pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Galenfeha Pink Sheet

Galenfeha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Galenfeha Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Galenfeha with respect to the benefits of owning Galenfeha security.