Gulf Island Fabrication Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.56
| GIFI Stock | USD 6.81 0.05 0.74% |
Gulf |
Gulf Island Target Price Odds to finish over 16.56
The tendency of Gulf Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 16.56 or more in 90 days |
| 6.81 | 90 days | 16.56 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gulf Island to move over $ 16.56 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Gulf Island Fabrication probability density function shows the probability of Gulf Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gulf Island Fabrication price to stay between its current price of $ 6.81 and $ 16.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.14 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Gulf Island has a beta of 0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gulf Island average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gulf Island Fabrication will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gulf Island Fabrication has an alpha of 0.3923, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gulf Island Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gulf Island
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulf Island Fabrication. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gulf Island Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gulf Island is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gulf Island's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gulf Island Fabrication, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gulf Island within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Gulf Island Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gulf Island for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gulf Island Fabrication can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gulf Island had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 151.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.89 M. | |
| Gulf Island has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Financial Review Williams Industries Gulf Island Fabrication |
Gulf Island Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gulf Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gulf Island's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gulf Island's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 46.4 M |
Gulf Island Technical Analysis
Gulf Island's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gulf Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gulf Island Fabrication. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gulf Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gulf Island Predictive Forecast Models
Gulf Island's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gulf Island's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gulf Island's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.