Digital Brands Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.04
| DBGI Stock | USD 3.69 0.16 4.16% |
Digital |
Digital Brands Target Price Odds to finish below 0.04
The tendency of Digital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 3.69 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 6.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Digital Brands to drop to $ 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.38 (This Digital Brands Group probability density function shows the probability of Digital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Digital Brands Group price to stay between $ 0.04 and its current price of $3.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.2 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.73 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Digital Brands will likely underperform. Additionally Digital Brands Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Digital Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Digital Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Digital Brands Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Digital Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Digital Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Digital Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Digital Brands Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Digital Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.87 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Digital Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Digital Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Digital Brands Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Digital Brands Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Digital Brands Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Digital Brands Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Digital Brands Group currently holds 8.67 M in liabilities. Digital Brands Group has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Digital Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 14.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.54 M. | |
| Digital Brands Group currently holds about 802.72 K in cash with (6.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Digital Brands Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: DIGITAL BRANDS GROUP, INC. Announces Partnership Results with VAYNERCOMMERCE |
Digital Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Digital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Digital Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Digital Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 424.4 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.8 K |
Digital Brands Technical Analysis
Digital Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Digital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Digital Brands Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Digital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Digital Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Digital Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Digital Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Digital Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Digital Brands Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Digital Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Digital Brands Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Digital Brands Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Digital Brands Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Digital Brands Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Digital Brands Group currently holds 8.67 M in liabilities. Digital Brands Group has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Digital Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 14.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.54 M. | |
| Digital Brands Group currently holds about 802.72 K in cash with (6.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Digital Brands Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: DIGITAL BRANDS GROUP, INC. Announces Partnership Results with VAYNERCOMMERCE |
Check out Digital Brands Backtesting, Digital Brands Valuation, Digital Brands Correlation, Digital Brands Hype Analysis, Digital Brands Volatility, Digital Brands History as well as Digital Brands Performance. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Digital Brands. If investors know Digital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Digital Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (335.51) | Revenue Per Share 11.245 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) | Return On Assets (0.21) | Return On Equity (3.73) |
The market value of Digital Brands Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Digital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Digital Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Digital Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Digital Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Digital Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Digital Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Digital Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Digital Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.