Digital Brands Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

DBGI Stock  USD 3.69  0.16  4.16%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Digital Brands Group on the next trading day is expected to be 5.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.66. Digital Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Digital Brands' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Digital Brands' Inventory Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Digital Brands' current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 53.36, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 1.06. . The Digital Brands' current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 445.6 K, while Net Loss is forecasted to increase to (32.5 M).
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Digital Brands Group is based on a synthetically constructed Digital Brandsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Digital Brands 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Digital Brands Group on the next trading day is expected to be 5.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28, mean absolute percentage error of 8.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Digital Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Digital Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Digital Brands Stock Forecast Pattern

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Digital Brands Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Digital Brands' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Digital Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 20.88, respectively. We have considered Digital Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.69
5.15
Expected Value
20.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Digital Brands stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Digital Brands stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria85.3814
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.0215
MADMean absolute deviation2.2775
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.3843
SAESum of the absolute errors95.6565
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Digital Brands Group 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Digital Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Digital Brands Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.1718.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.183.5419.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Digital Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Digital Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Digital Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Digital Brands Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Digital Brands

For every potential investor in Digital, whether a beginner or expert, Digital Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Digital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Digital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Digital Brands' price trends.

Digital Brands Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Digital Brands stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Digital Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Digital Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Digital Brands Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Digital Brands' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Digital Brands' current price.

Digital Brands Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Digital Brands stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Digital Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Digital Brands stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Digital Brands Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Digital Brands Risk Indicators

The analysis of Digital Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Digital Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting digital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Digital Brands Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Digital Brands' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Digital Brands' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Digital Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Digital Brands to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Digital Brands. If investors know Digital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Digital Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(335.51)
Revenue Per Share
11.245
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.24)
Return On Assets
(0.21)
Return On Equity
(3.73)
The market value of Digital Brands Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Digital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Digital Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Digital Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Digital Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Digital Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Digital Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Digital Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Digital Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.