Capital One Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 190.79
| COF Stock | USD 178.65 2.99 1.70% |
Capital |
Capital One Target Price Odds to finish over 190.79
The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 190.79 or more in 90 days |
| 178.65 | 90 days | 190.79 | about 9.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital One to move over $ 190.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.35 (This Capital One Financial probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital One Financial price to stay between its current price of $ 178.65 and $ 190.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.96 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.37 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Capital One will likely underperform. Additionally Capital One Financial has an alpha of 0.2073, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Capital One Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capital One
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital One Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capital One Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital One is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital One's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital One Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital One within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Capital One Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital One for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital One Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 22nd of November 2024 Capital One paid $ 0.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Capital One Financial Corp Announces Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Release Date |
Capital One Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital One's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital One's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 383.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43.3 B |
Capital One Technical Analysis
Capital One's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital One Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capital One Predictive Forecast Models
Capital One's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital One's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital One's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Capital One Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital One for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital One Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 22nd of November 2024 Capital One paid $ 0.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Capital One Financial Corp Announces Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Release Date |
Check out Capital One Backtesting, Capital One Valuation, Capital One Correlation, Capital One Hype Analysis, Capital One Volatility, Capital One History as well as Capital One Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital One. If investors know Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capital One listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Dividend Share 2.4 | Earnings Share 10.77 | Revenue Per Share 69.278 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.064 |
The market value of Capital One Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capital One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capital One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capital One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capital One's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.