Bankwell Financial Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.93
| BWFG Stock | USD 32.00 1.39 4.54% |
Bankwell |
Bankwell Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 19.93
The tendency of Bankwell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.93 or more in 90 days |
| 32.00 | 90 days | 19.93 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bankwell Financial to drop to $ 19.93 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bankwell Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of Bankwell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bankwell Financial price to stay between $ 19.93 and its current price of $32.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.89 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.29 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bankwell Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Bankwell Financial Group has an alpha of 0.0549, implying that it can generate a 0.0549 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bankwell Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bankwell Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bankwell Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bankwell Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bankwell Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bankwell Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bankwell Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bankwell Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Bankwell Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bankwell Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bankwell Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| On 22nd of November 2024 Bankwell Financial paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Independent Director of Bankwell Financial Group Darryl Demos Buys 24 percent More Shares |
Bankwell Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bankwell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bankwell Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bankwell Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 269.2 M |
Bankwell Financial Technical Analysis
Bankwell Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bankwell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bankwell Financial Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bankwell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bankwell Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Bankwell Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bankwell Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bankwell Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bankwell Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bankwell Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bankwell Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| On 22nd of November 2024 Bankwell Financial paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Independent Director of Bankwell Financial Group Darryl Demos Buys 24 percent More Shares |
Check out Bankwell Financial Backtesting, Bankwell Financial Valuation, Bankwell Financial Correlation, Bankwell Financial Hype Analysis, Bankwell Financial Volatility, Bankwell Financial History as well as Bankwell Financial Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bankwell Financial. If investors know Bankwell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bankwell Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 1.95 | Revenue Per Share 9.373 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.38) |
The market value of Bankwell Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bankwell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bankwell Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bankwell Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bankwell Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bankwell Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bankwell Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bankwell Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bankwell Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.