Ally Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.26

ALLY Stock  USD 35.26  0.40  1.15%   
Ally Financial's future price is the expected price of Ally Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ally Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ally Financial Backtesting, Ally Financial Valuation, Ally Financial Correlation, Ally Financial Hype Analysis, Ally Financial Volatility, Ally Financial History as well as Ally Financial Performance.
For more information on how to buy Ally Stock please use our How to Invest in Ally Financial guide.
  
Price Earnings Ratio is likely to rise to 10.92 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.86 in 2024. Please specify Ally Financial's target price for which you would like Ally Financial odds to be computed.

Ally Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 35.26

The tendency of Ally Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 35.26 90 days 35.26 
about 66.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ally Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 66.94 (This Ally Financial probability density function shows the probability of Ally Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ally Financial has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ally Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ally Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ally Financial has an alpha of 0.0397, implying that it can generate a 0.0397 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ally Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ally Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ally Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.3535.2437.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.2233.1138.79
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.3530.0633.37
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.690.600.87
Details

Ally Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ally Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ally Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ally Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ally Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Ally Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ally Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ally Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ally Financial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Ally Financial currently holds 20.23 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 275.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ally Financial has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ally Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 83.0% of Ally Financial shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of November 2024 Ally Financial paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from pymnts.com: Retail Retreat Shopifys Checkout Woes Lead Shop Pillar Drop in CE100 Index

Ally Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ally Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ally Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ally Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding305.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments31.4 B

Ally Financial Technical Analysis

Ally Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ally Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ally Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ally Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ally Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Ally Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ally Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ally Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ally Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ally Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ally Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ally Financial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Ally Financial currently holds 20.23 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 275.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ally Financial has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ally Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 83.0% of Ally Financial shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of November 2024 Ally Financial paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from pymnts.com: Retail Retreat Shopifys Checkout Woes Lead Shop Pillar Drop in CE100 Index

Additional Tools for Ally Stock Analysis

When running Ally Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ally Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ally Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ally Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ally Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ally Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ally Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.