Shenyu Communication (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.69
| 300563 Stock | 51.76 0.96 1.89% |
Shenyu |
Shenyu Communication Target Price Odds to finish below 51.69
The tendency of Shenyu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 51.69 or more in 90 days |
| 51.76 | 90 days | 51.69 | about 36.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shenyu Communication to drop to 51.69 or more in 90 days from now is about 36.25 (This Shenyu Communication Technology probability density function shows the probability of Shenyu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shenyu Communication price to stay between 51.69 and its current price of 51.76 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.47 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Shenyu Communication will likely underperform. Additionally Shenyu Communication Technology has an alpha of 0.9552, implying that it can generate a 0.96 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shenyu Communication Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shenyu Communication
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenyu Communication. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shenyu Communication Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shenyu Communication is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shenyu Communication's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shenyu Communication Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shenyu Communication within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.96 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Shenyu Communication Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shenyu Communication for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shenyu Communication can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shenyu Communication had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Shenyu Communication generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Shenyu Communication Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shenyu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shenyu Communication's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenyu Communication's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 178.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 273.7 M |
Shenyu Communication Technical Analysis
Shenyu Communication's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shenyu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shenyu Communication Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shenyu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shenyu Communication Predictive Forecast Models
Shenyu Communication's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shenyu Communication's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shenyu Communication's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shenyu Communication
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shenyu Communication for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shenyu Communication help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shenyu Communication had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Shenyu Communication generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Shenyu Stock
Shenyu Communication financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenyu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenyu with respect to the benefits of owning Shenyu Communication security.