Shenyu Communication Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| 300563 Stock | 50.80 4.06 7.40% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shenyu Communication Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 52.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 196.10. Shenyu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shenyu Communication stock prices and determine the direction of Shenyu Communication Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shenyu Communication's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Shenyu |
Shenyu Communication 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shenyu Communication Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 52.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.44, mean absolute percentage error of 19.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 196.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shenyu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shenyu Communication's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Shenyu Communication Stock Forecast Pattern
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Shenyu Communication Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Shenyu Communication's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shenyu Communication's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 46.64 and 59.17, respectively. We have considered Shenyu Communication's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shenyu Communication stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shenyu Communication stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7271 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1064 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.4403 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0614 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 196.0975 |
Predictive Modules for Shenyu Communication
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenyu Communication. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Shenyu Communication
For every potential investor in Shenyu, whether a beginner or expert, Shenyu Communication's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shenyu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shenyu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shenyu Communication's price trends.Shenyu Communication Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shenyu Communication stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shenyu Communication could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shenyu Communication by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Shenyu Communication Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shenyu Communication's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shenyu Communication's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Shenyu Communication Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shenyu Communication stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shenyu Communication shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shenyu Communication stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shenyu Communication Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Shenyu Communication Risk Indicators
The analysis of Shenyu Communication's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shenyu Communication's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shenyu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.97 | |||
| Variance | 48.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 28.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 24.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| BTC | Bitcoin | |
| TRX | TRON | |
| BNB | Binance Coin |
Other Information on Investing in Shenyu Stock
Shenyu Communication financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenyu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenyu with respect to the benefits of owning Shenyu Communication security.