Shenyu Communication Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

300563 Stock   50.80  4.06  7.40%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Shenyu Communication Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 50.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 168.20. Shenyu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shenyu Communication stock prices and determine the direction of Shenyu Communication Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shenyu Communication's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Shenyu Communication's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Stockholder Equity is expected to grow to about 1.2 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 763.5 M.
A two period moving average forecast for Shenyu Communication is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Shenyu Communication Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Shenyu Communication Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 50.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.85, mean absolute percentage error of 13.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 168.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shenyu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shenyu Communication's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shenyu Communication Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shenyu Communication Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shenyu Communication's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shenyu Communication's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.54 and 57.06, respectively. We have considered Shenyu Communication's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
50.80
50.80
Expected Value
57.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shenyu Communication stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shenyu Communication stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0311
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0848
MADMean absolute deviation2.8509
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0512
SAESum of the absolute errors168.205
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Shenyu Communication Technology price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Shenyu Communication. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Shenyu Communication

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenyu Communication. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.4051.6657.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.5148.7755.03
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.360.360.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shenyu Communication. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shenyu Communication's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shenyu Communication's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shenyu Communication.

Other Forecasting Options for Shenyu Communication

For every potential investor in Shenyu, whether a beginner or expert, Shenyu Communication's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shenyu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shenyu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shenyu Communication's price trends.

Shenyu Communication Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shenyu Communication stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shenyu Communication could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shenyu Communication by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shenyu Communication Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shenyu Communication's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shenyu Communication's current price.

Shenyu Communication Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shenyu Communication stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shenyu Communication shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shenyu Communication stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shenyu Communication Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shenyu Communication Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shenyu Communication's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shenyu Communication's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shenyu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Shenyu Stock

Shenyu Communication financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenyu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenyu with respect to the benefits of owning Shenyu Communication security.