Chia Her (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.80
| 1449 Stock | TWD 17.80 0.15 0.84% |
Chia |
Chia Her Target Price Odds to finish over 17.80
The tendency of Chia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 17.80 | 90 days | 17.80 | about 88.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chia Her to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.6 (This Chia Her Industrial probability density function shows the probability of Chia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chia Her has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Chia Her average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chia Her Industrial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chia Her Industrial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Chia Her Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chia Her
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chia Her Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chia Her Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chia Her is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chia Her's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chia Her Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chia Her within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Chia Her Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chia Her for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chia Her Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chia Her Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chia Her Industrial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Chia Her Industrial has accumulated 1.7 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 498.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Chia Her Industrial has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chia Her until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chia Her's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chia Her Industrial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chia Her's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 45.0% of Chia Her shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Chia Her Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chia Her's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chia Her's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113.4 M |
Chia Her Technical Analysis
Chia Her's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chia Her Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chia Her Predictive Forecast Models
Chia Her's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chia Her's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chia Her's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chia Her Industrial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chia Her for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chia Her Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chia Her Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chia Her Industrial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Chia Her Industrial has accumulated 1.7 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 498.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Chia Her Industrial has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chia Her until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chia Her's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chia Her Industrial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chia Her's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 45.0% of Chia Her shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Chia Stock Analysis
When running Chia Her's price analysis, check to measure Chia Her's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chia Her is operating at the current time. Most of Chia Her's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chia Her's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chia Her's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chia Her to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.