Chia Her (Taiwan) Market Value

1449 Stock  TWD 26.25  2.90  9.95%   
Chia Her's market value is the price at which a share of Chia Her trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chia Her Industrial investors about its performance. Chia Her is selling for under 26.25 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 9.95 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 26.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chia Her Industrial and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chia Her over a given investment horizon. Check out Chia Her Correlation, Chia Her Volatility and Chia Her Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chia Her.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Chia Her's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chia Her is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chia Her's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chia Her 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chia Her's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chia Her.
0.00
08/19/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chia Her on August 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chia Her Industrial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chia Her over 480 days. Chia Her is related to or competes with Feng Tay, Ruentex Development, WiseChip Semiconductor, Novatek Microelectronics, Leader Electronics, Information Technology, and Kinko Optical. Chia Her Industrial Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells textile products in Taiwan More

Chia Her Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chia Her's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chia Her Industrial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chia Her Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chia Her's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chia Her's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chia Her historical prices to predict the future Chia Her's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.1426.2530.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.5224.6228.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.9430.0434.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.4321.4628.50
Details

Chia Her Industrial Backtested Returns

Chia Her appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Chia Her Industrial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Chia Her's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.66% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Chia Her's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1155, downside deviation of 3.55, and Mean Deviation of 2.78 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Chia Her holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.27, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Chia Her's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chia Her is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Chia Her's mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Chia Her's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Chia Her Industrial has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chia Her time series from 19th of August 2023 to 15th of April 2024 and 15th of April 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chia Her Industrial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Chia Her price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test-0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.74

Chia Her Industrial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chia Her stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chia Her's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chia Her returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chia Her has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chia Her regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chia Her stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chia Her stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chia Her stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chia Her Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chia Her's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chia Her stock have on its future price. Chia Her autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chia Her autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chia Her stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chia Her Industrial.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Chia Stock Analysis

When running Chia Her's price analysis, check to measure Chia Her's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chia Her is operating at the current time. Most of Chia Her's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chia Her's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chia Her's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chia Her to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.