China Greatwall (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.48
| 000066 Stock | 15.95 0.05 0.31% |
China |
China Greatwall Target Price Odds to finish over 26.48
The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 26.48 or more in 90 days |
| 15.95 | 90 days | 26.48 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Greatwall to move over 26.48 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This China Greatwall Computer probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Greatwall Computer price to stay between its current price of 15.95 and 26.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Greatwall has a beta of 0.52. This suggests as returns on the market go up, China Greatwall average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding China Greatwall Computer will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover China Greatwall Computer has an alpha of 1.1331, implying that it can generate a 1.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). China Greatwall Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Greatwall
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Greatwall Computer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China Greatwall Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Greatwall is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Greatwall's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Greatwall Computer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Greatwall within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
China Greatwall Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Greatwall for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Greatwall Computer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China Greatwall is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| China Greatwall appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 13.42 B. Net Loss for the year was (977.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.72 B. | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Its Down 25 percent But China Greatwall Technology Group Co., Ltd. Could Be Riskier Than It Looks - Simply Wall St |
China Greatwall Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Greatwall's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Greatwall's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 B |
China Greatwall Technical Analysis
China Greatwall's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Greatwall Computer. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Greatwall Predictive Forecast Models
China Greatwall's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Greatwall's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Greatwall's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Greatwall Computer
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Greatwall for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Greatwall Computer help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China Greatwall is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| China Greatwall appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 13.42 B. Net Loss for the year was (977.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.72 B. | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Its Down 25 percent But China Greatwall Technology Group Co., Ltd. Could Be Riskier Than It Looks - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in China Stock
China Greatwall financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Greatwall security.