China Greatwall (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

000066 Stock   15.11  0.44  2.83%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding China Greatwall Computer is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides China Greatwall buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 000066 positions.
  
Check out China Greatwall Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards China Greatwall Computer. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute China Greatwall Buy or Sell Advice

The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Greatwall Computer. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Greatwall Computer or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Greatwall's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell China GreatwallBuy China Greatwall
Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon China Greatwall Computer has a Mean Deviation of 4.25, Semi Deviation of 4.18, Standard Deviation of 5.49, Variance of 30.13, Downside Variance of 23.24 and Semi Variance of 17.5
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on China Greatwall Computer and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure China Greatwall is not overpriced, please confirm all China Greatwall Computer fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

China Greatwall Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

China Greatwall is way too risky over 90 days horizon
China Greatwall appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 13.42 B. Net Loss for the year was (977.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.72 B.
About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Its Down 25 percent But China Greatwall Technology Group Co., Ltd. Could Be Riskier Than It Looks - Simply Wall St

China Greatwall Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of China Greatwall's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Greatwall's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Greatwall daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Greatwall Computer price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Greatwall returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Greatwall.
Mean Return
1.12
Value At Risk
-9.28
Potential Upside
10.00
Standard Deviation
5.49
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Greatwall historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

China Greatwall Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid357.4M532.9M630.7M462.0M334.8M294.9M
Capital Expenditures743.8M1.5B1.0B1.0B834.7M828.6M
Net Income1.1B927.9M597.6M120.3M(977.3M)(928.4M)
Change To Inventory(251.7M)(2.0B)(1.8B)102.7M168.7M177.1M
Investments(460.6M)(364.4M)(1.3B)(1.8B)(768.9M)(730.5M)
Change In Cash596.3M580.9M(762.8M)631.9M(206.2M)(216.5M)
Net Borrowings1.1B2.2B2.8B1.6B1.9B1.3B
Depreciation222.5M324.2M451.7M548.4M577.2M419.0M
Change To Netincome(681.0M)8.4M504.9M422.7M486.1M510.4M
End Period Cash Flow3.8B4.4B3.6B4.3B4.1B3.4B
Free Cash Flow(634.7M)(1.3B)(1.3B)(1.4B)(397.5M)(417.4M)
Other Non Cash Items149.4M364.5M414.1M335.9M324.8M275.7M

China Greatwall Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Greatwall or Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Greatwall's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
5.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

China Greatwall Volatility Alert

China Greatwall Computer exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure China Greatwall's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact China Greatwall's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

China Greatwall Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing China Greatwall's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Greatwall's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Greatwall and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Greatwall or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Greatwall's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Greatwall by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare China Greatwall to competition
FundamentalsChina GreatwallPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0555-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0137-0.14
Profit Margin(0.06) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation54.48 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.23 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders42.87 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions7.27 %39.21 %
Price To Book4.06 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.37 X11.42 X
Revenue13.42 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.72 B27.38 B
EBITDA(241.05 M)3.9 B
Net Income(977.25 M)570.98 M
Total Debt1.5 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share3.73 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations437.12 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.26) X3.12 X
Target Price12.0
Number Of Employees14.66 K18.84 K
Beta0.7-0.15
Market Capitalization50.42 B19.03 B
Total Asset34.13 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.88 B9.33 B
Working Capital9.97 B1.48 B
Net Asset34.13 B

China Greatwall Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About China Greatwall Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell China Greatwall Computer? Buying financial instruments such as China Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Utilities - Regulated Electric Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Utilities - Regulated Electric theme has 7 constituents at this time.
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Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Greatwall financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Greatwall security.