Tsogo Sun Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TSG Stock | 1,009 6.00 0.59% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tsogo Sun on the next trading day is expected to be 1,009 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 655.04. Tsogo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tsogo Sun stock prices and determine the direction of Tsogo Sun's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tsogo Sun's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Tsogo |
Tsogo Sun Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tsogo Sun on the next trading day is expected to be 1,009 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.92, mean absolute percentage error of 340.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 655.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tsogo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tsogo Sun's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tsogo Sun Stock Forecast Pattern
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Tsogo Sun Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tsogo Sun's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tsogo Sun's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,007 and 1,011, respectively. We have considered Tsogo Sun's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tsogo Sun stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tsogo Sun stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.1028 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 3.4253 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 10.9173 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0097 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 655.04 |
Predictive Modules for Tsogo Sun
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tsogo Sun. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Tsogo Sun
For every potential investor in Tsogo, whether a beginner or expert, Tsogo Sun's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tsogo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tsogo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tsogo Sun's price trends.Tsogo Sun Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tsogo Sun stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tsogo Sun could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tsogo Sun by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tsogo Sun Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tsogo Sun's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tsogo Sun's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tsogo Sun Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tsogo Sun stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tsogo Sun shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tsogo Sun stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tsogo Sun entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0187 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.32) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1007.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1008.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 19.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (6.00) |
Tsogo Sun Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tsogo Sun's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tsogo Sun's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tsogo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Variance | 2.63 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Tsogo Stock
Tsogo Sun financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tsogo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tsogo with respect to the benefits of owning Tsogo Sun security.