Tembo Global Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

TEMBO Stock   764.35  31.35  3.94%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tembo Global Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 811.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 29.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,807. Tembo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Tembo Global's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Tembo Global's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Tembo Global fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Tembo Global's Net Debt is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 9th of January 2025, Retained Earnings is likely to grow to about 363.5 M, while Non Currrent Assets Other are likely to drop about 5.5 M.
Tembo Global polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Tembo Global Industries as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Tembo Global Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tembo Global Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 811.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 29.63, mean absolute percentage error of 1,364, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,807.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tembo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tembo Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tembo Global Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Tembo GlobalTembo Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Tembo Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tembo Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tembo Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 808.18 and 814.85, respectively. We have considered Tembo Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
764.35
808.18
Downside
811.52
Expected Value
814.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tembo Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tembo Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.3284
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation29.6262
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0461
SAESum of the absolute errors1807.1971
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Tembo Global historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Tembo Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tembo Global Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
687.92786.59789.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
745.73749.06840.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
711.32798.33885.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Tembo Global

For every potential investor in Tembo, whether a beginner or expert, Tembo Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tembo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tembo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tembo Global's price trends.

Tembo Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tembo Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tembo Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tembo Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tembo Global Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tembo Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tembo Global's current price.

Tembo Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tembo Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tembo Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tembo Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tembo Global Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tembo Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tembo Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tembo Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tembo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Tembo Stock

Tembo Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tembo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tembo with respect to the benefits of owning Tembo Global security.