Tembo Global (India) Market Value

TEMBO Stock   725.90  26.25  3.75%   
Tembo Global's market value is the price at which a share of Tembo Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tembo Global Industries investors about its performance. Tembo Global is selling at 725.90 as of the 23rd of January 2025; that is 3.75 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 699.65.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tembo Global Industries and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tembo Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Tembo Global Correlation, Tembo Global Volatility and Tembo Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tembo Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tembo Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tembo Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tembo Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tembo Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tembo Global's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tembo Global.
0.00
02/03/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
01/23/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tembo Global on February 3, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tembo Global Industries or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tembo Global over 720 days. Tembo Global is related to or competes with Patanjali Foods, 63 Moons, PB Fintech, Aptech, Rossari Biotech, FCS Software, and Apex Frozen. Tembo Global is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Tembo Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tembo Global's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tembo Global Industries upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tembo Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tembo Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tembo Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tembo Global historical prices to predict the future Tembo Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
719.02722.58726.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
653.31775.65779.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
695.93699.49703.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
688.13776.13864.13
Details

Tembo Global Industries Backtested Returns

Tembo Global appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Tembo Global Industries owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.21, which indicates the firm had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Tembo Global's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.73% is justified by implied risk. Please review Tembo Global's Semi Deviation of 2.77, coefficient of variation of 588.2, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.151 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Tembo Global holds a performance score of 16. The entity has a beta of 0.75, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Tembo Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tembo Global is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Tembo Global's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Tembo Global's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.66  

Good predictability

Tembo Global Industries has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tembo Global time series from 3rd of February 2023 to 29th of January 2024 and 29th of January 2024 to 23rd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tembo Global Industries price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Tembo Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.66
Spearman Rank Test0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance41.9 K

Tembo Global Industries lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tembo Global stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tembo Global's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tembo Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tembo Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tembo Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tembo Global stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tembo Global stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tembo Global stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tembo Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tembo Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tembo Global stock have on its future price. Tembo Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tembo Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tembo Global stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tembo Global Industries.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Tembo Stock

Tembo Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tembo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tembo with respect to the benefits of owning Tembo Global security.