QCR Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| QCRH Stock | USD 92.11 1.40 1.50% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of QCR Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 92.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.48. QCR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of QCR Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
QCR |
Open Interest Against 2024-12-20 QCR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast QCR Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in QCR Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for QCR Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current QCR Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to QCR Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of QCR Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in QCR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
QCR Holdings Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the QCR Holdings' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1995-09-30 | Previous Quarter 186.3 M | Current Value 249.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 75.9 M |
QCR Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of QCR Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 92.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.66, mean absolute percentage error of 4.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict QCR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that QCR Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
QCR Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest QCR Holdings | QCR Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
QCR Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting QCR Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. QCR Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 89.76 and 94.32, respectively. We have considered QCR Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of QCR Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent QCR Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.6789 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6636 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0205 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 101.4819 |
Predictive Modules for QCR Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QCR Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for QCR Holdings
For every potential investor in QCR, whether a beginner or expert, QCR Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. QCR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in QCR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying QCR Holdings' price trends.QCR Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with QCR Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of QCR Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing QCR Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
QCR Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of QCR Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of QCR Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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QCR Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how QCR Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading QCR Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying QCR Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify QCR Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
QCR Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of QCR Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in QCR Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting qcr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Variance | 5.06 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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When determining whether QCR Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of QCR Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Qcr Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Qcr Holdings Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of QCR Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in QCR Stock please use our How to Invest in QCR Holdings guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of QCR Holdings. If investors know QCR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about QCR Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.101 | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share 6.88 | Revenue Per Share 20.352 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.069 |
The market value of QCR Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of QCR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of QCR Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is QCR Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because QCR Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect QCR Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between QCR Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if QCR Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, QCR Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.