Middlefield Banc Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| MBCN Stock | USD 26.83 1.00 3.87% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Middlefield Banc on the next trading day is expected to be 26.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.61. Middlefield Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Middlefield Banc's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Middlefield Banc's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Middlefield Banc fundamentals over time.
Middlefield |
Middlefield Banc Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Middlefield Banc on the next trading day is expected to be 26.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Middlefield Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Middlefield Banc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Middlefield Banc Stock Forecast Pattern
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Middlefield Banc Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Middlefield Banc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Middlefield Banc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.44 and 29.22, respectively. We have considered Middlefield Banc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Middlefield Banc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Middlefield Banc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.906 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0875 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5527 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0204 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.61 |
Predictive Modules for Middlefield Banc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Middlefield Banc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Middlefield Banc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Middlefield Banc
For every potential investor in Middlefield, whether a beginner or expert, Middlefield Banc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Middlefield Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Middlefield. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Middlefield Banc's price trends.Middlefield Banc Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Middlefield Banc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Middlefield Banc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Middlefield Banc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Middlefield Banc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Middlefield Banc's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Middlefield Banc's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Middlefield Banc Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Middlefield Banc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Middlefield Banc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Middlefield Banc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Middlefield Banc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Middlefield Banc Risk Indicators
The analysis of Middlefield Banc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Middlefield Banc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting middlefield stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Variance | 5.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
When determining whether Middlefield Banc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Middlefield Banc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Middlefield Banc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Middlefield Banc Stock: Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Middlefield Banc to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Middlefield Stock, please use our How to Invest in Middlefield Banc guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Middlefield Banc. If investors know Middlefield will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Middlefield Banc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.371 | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 1.92 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.074 |
The market value of Middlefield Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Middlefield that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Middlefield Banc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Middlefield Banc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Middlefield Banc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Middlefield Banc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Middlefield Banc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Middlefield Banc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Middlefield Banc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.