Marui Group Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

MAURY Stock  USD 34.28  0.58  1.72%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Marui Group Co on the next trading day is expected to be 33.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.74. Marui Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Marui Group is based on an artificially constructed time series of Marui Group daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Marui Group 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Marui Group Co on the next trading day is expected to be 33.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.75, mean absolute percentage error of 4.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marui Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marui Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Marui Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Marui Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Marui Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marui Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.89 and 39.78, respectively. We have considered Marui Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.28
33.33
Expected Value
39.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marui Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marui Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.8409
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0647
MADMean absolute deviation1.7498
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0544
SAESum of the absolute errors92.7375
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Marui Group Co 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Marui Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marui Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.7834.2840.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.4227.9234.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Marui Group

For every potential investor in Marui, whether a beginner or expert, Marui Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marui Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marui. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marui Group's price trends.

Marui Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marui Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marui Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marui Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Marui Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Marui Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Marui Group's current price.

Marui Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marui Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marui Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marui Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Marui Group Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Marui Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marui Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marui Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marui pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Marui Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Marui Group's price analysis, check to measure Marui Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marui Group is operating at the current time. Most of Marui Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marui Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marui Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marui Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.