FIDSON HEALTHCARE Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FIDSON Stock | 15.40 0.00 0.00% |
FIDSON |
FIDSON HEALTHCARE Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FIDSON HEALTHCARE PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 15.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FIDSON Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FIDSON HEALTHCARE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FIDSON HEALTHCARE Stock Forecast Pattern
FIDSON HEALTHCARE Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FIDSON HEALTHCARE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FIDSON HEALTHCARE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.18 and 18.62, respectively. We have considered FIDSON HEALTHCARE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FIDSON HEALTHCARE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FIDSON HEALTHCARE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0407 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2169 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0143 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.8 |
Predictive Modules for FIDSON HEALTHCARE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FIDSON HEALTHCARE PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for FIDSON HEALTHCARE
For every potential investor in FIDSON, whether a beginner or expert, FIDSON HEALTHCARE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FIDSON Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FIDSON. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FIDSON HEALTHCARE's price trends.FIDSON HEALTHCARE Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FIDSON HEALTHCARE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FIDSON HEALTHCARE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FIDSON HEALTHCARE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FIDSON HEALTHCARE PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FIDSON HEALTHCARE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FIDSON HEALTHCARE's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FIDSON HEALTHCARE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FIDSON HEALTHCARE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FIDSON HEALTHCARE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FIDSON HEALTHCARE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FIDSON HEALTHCARE PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FIDSON HEALTHCARE Risk Indicators
The analysis of FIDSON HEALTHCARE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FIDSON HEALTHCARE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fidson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.12 | |||
| Variance | 9.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 39.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.