Carrefour Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CRERF Stock  USD 15.73  0.12  0.76%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Carrefour SA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.27. Carrefour Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Carrefour's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Carrefour is based on an artificially constructed time series of Carrefour daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Carrefour 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Carrefour SA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Carrefour Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Carrefour's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Carrefour Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Carrefour Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Carrefour's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Carrefour's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.62 and 17.84, respectively. We have considered Carrefour's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.73
15.73
Expected Value
17.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Carrefour pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Carrefour pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.3983
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0899
MADMean absolute deviation0.3825
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0238
SAESum of the absolute errors20.275
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Carrefour SA 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Carrefour

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carrefour SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.6215.7317.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.9916.1018.21
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Carrefour

For every potential investor in Carrefour, whether a beginner or expert, Carrefour's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Carrefour Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Carrefour. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Carrefour's price trends.

Carrefour Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Carrefour pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Carrefour could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Carrefour by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Carrefour SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Carrefour's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Carrefour's current price.

Carrefour Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Carrefour pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Carrefour shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Carrefour pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Carrefour SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Carrefour Risk Indicators

The analysis of Carrefour's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Carrefour's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting carrefour pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Carrefour Pink Sheet

Carrefour financial ratios help investors to determine whether Carrefour Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Carrefour with respect to the benefits of owning Carrefour security.