Carrefour Sa Stock Price Prediction

CRERF Stock  USD 15.73  0.12  0.76%   
As of 29th of November 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Carrefour's share price is approaching 40 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Carrefour, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

40

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Carrefour's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Carrefour and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Carrefour's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Carrefour SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Carrefour hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carrefour SA from the perspective of Carrefour response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Carrefour to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Carrefour because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Carrefour after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.73  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Carrefour Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.9916.1018.21
Details

Carrefour After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Carrefour at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carrefour or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Carrefour, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Carrefour Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Carrefour's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carrefour's historical news coverage. Carrefour's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.62 and 17.84, respectively. We have considered Carrefour's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.73
15.73
After-hype Price
17.84
Upside
Carrefour is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carrefour SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Carrefour Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Carrefour is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carrefour backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carrefour, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
2.11
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.73
15.73
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Carrefour Hype Timeline

Carrefour SA is currently traded for 15.73. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Carrefour is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Carrefour is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.73. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.18. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Carrefour SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of June 2022. The firm had 6:1 split on the 3rd of May 1999. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Carrefour Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Carrefour Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Carrefour's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carrefour's future price movements. Getting to know how Carrefour's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carrefour may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Carrefour Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Carrefour price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carrefour using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carrefour charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Carrefour Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Carrefour stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Carrefour SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carrefour based on analysis of Carrefour hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Carrefour's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Carrefour's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Carrefour

The number of cover stories for Carrefour depends on current market conditions and Carrefour's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Carrefour is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Carrefour's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Carrefour Short Properties

Carrefour's future price predictability will typically decrease when Carrefour's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Carrefour SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Carrefour's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carrefour's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding766.4 M

Complementary Tools for Carrefour Pink Sheet analysis

When running Carrefour's price analysis, check to measure Carrefour's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carrefour is operating at the current time. Most of Carrefour's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carrefour's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carrefour's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carrefour to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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