BankInvest Hjt Fund Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

BAIHUAA Fund  DKK 155.45  0.80  0.52%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of BankInvest Hjt on the next trading day is expected to be 155.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.24. BankInvest Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BankInvest Hjt stock prices and determine the direction of BankInvest Hjt's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BankInvest Hjt's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for BankInvest Hjt is based on an artificially constructed time series of BankInvest Hjt daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

BankInvest Hjt 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of BankInvest Hjt on the next trading day is expected to be 155.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.50, mean absolute percentage error of 3.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BankInvest Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BankInvest Hjt's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BankInvest Hjt Fund Forecast Pattern

BankInvest Hjt Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BankInvest Hjt's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BankInvest Hjt's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 154.77 and 156.04, respectively. We have considered BankInvest Hjt's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
155.45
154.77
Downside
155.41
Expected Value
156.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BankInvest Hjt fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BankInvest Hjt fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.3876
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3845
MADMean absolute deviation1.5044
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0095
SAESum of the absolute errors81.2375
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. BankInvest Hjt 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for BankInvest Hjt

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BankInvest Hjt. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BankInvest Hjt's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
154.82155.45156.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
155.40156.03156.66
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BankInvest Hjt

For every potential investor in BankInvest, whether a beginner or expert, BankInvest Hjt's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BankInvest Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BankInvest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BankInvest Hjt's price trends.

BankInvest Hjt Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BankInvest Hjt fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BankInvest Hjt could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BankInvest Hjt by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BankInvest Hjt Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BankInvest Hjt's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BankInvest Hjt's current price.

BankInvest Hjt Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BankInvest Hjt fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BankInvest Hjt shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BankInvest Hjt fund market strength indicators, traders can identify BankInvest Hjt entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BankInvest Hjt Risk Indicators

The analysis of BankInvest Hjt's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BankInvest Hjt's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bankinvest fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in BankInvest Fund

BankInvest Hjt financial ratios help investors to determine whether BankInvest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BankInvest with respect to the benefits of owning BankInvest Hjt security.
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