BankInvest Hjt (Denmark) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 154.77
| BAIHUAA Fund | DKK 146.00 0.60 0.41% |
BankInvest |
BankInvest Hjt Target Price Odds to finish below 154.77
The tendency of BankInvest Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under kr 154.77 after 90 days |
| 146.00 | 90 days | 154.77 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BankInvest Hjt to stay under kr 154.77 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This BankInvest Hjt probability density function shows the probability of BankInvest Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BankInvest Hjt price to stay between its current price of kr 146.00 and kr 154.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BankInvest Hjt has a beta of 0.0322 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BankInvest Hjt average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BankInvest Hjt will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BankInvest Hjt has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BankInvest Hjt Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BankInvest Hjt
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BankInvest Hjt. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BankInvest Hjt's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BankInvest Hjt Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BankInvest Hjt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BankInvest Hjt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BankInvest Hjt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BankInvest Hjt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
BankInvest Hjt Technical Analysis
BankInvest Hjt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BankInvest Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BankInvest Hjt. In general, you should focus on analyzing BankInvest Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BankInvest Hjt Predictive Forecast Models
BankInvest Hjt's time-series forecasting models is one of many BankInvest Hjt's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BankInvest Hjt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BankInvest Hjt in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BankInvest Hjt's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BankInvest Hjt options trading.
Other Information on Investing in BankInvest Fund
BankInvest Hjt financial ratios help investors to determine whether BankInvest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BankInvest with respect to the benefits of owning BankInvest Hjt security.
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