Jiangsu GDK Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

688670 Stock   15.70  0.11  0.70%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 15.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.43. Jiangsu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jiangsu GDK stock prices and determine the direction of Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jiangsu GDK's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Jiangsu GDK's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 199.2 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.1 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Jiangsu GDK is based on an artificially constructed time series of Jiangsu GDK daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Jiangsu GDK 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 15.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75, mean absolute percentage error of 1.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jiangsu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jiangsu GDK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jiangsu GDK Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jiangsu GDK Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jiangsu GDK's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jiangsu GDK's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.96 and 20.56, respectively. We have considered Jiangsu GDK's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.70
15.76
Expected Value
20.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jiangsu GDK stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jiangsu GDK stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.5128
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4905
MADMean absolute deviation0.7487
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0532
SAESum of the absolute errors40.4325
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Jiangsu GDK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9015.7020.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.7312.5317.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.0015.8016.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jiangsu GDK. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jiangsu GDK's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jiangsu GDK's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology.

Other Forecasting Options for Jiangsu GDK

For every potential investor in Jiangsu, whether a beginner or expert, Jiangsu GDK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jiangsu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jiangsu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jiangsu GDK's price trends.

Jiangsu GDK Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jiangsu GDK stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jiangsu GDK could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiangsu GDK by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jiangsu GDK's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jiangsu GDK's current price.

Jiangsu GDK Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jiangsu GDK stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jiangsu GDK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jiangsu GDK stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jiangsu GDK Biotechnology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jiangsu GDK Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jiangsu GDK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jiangsu GDK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jiangsu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Jiangsu Stock

Jiangsu GDK financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangsu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangsu with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangsu GDK security.